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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings Free Pick

The 26-48 Sacramento Kings host the 40-34 New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference match up on 4/3/2015 at Sleep Train Arena Sacramento, CA; Tipoff is at 10:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread:
Pelicans -5.5
Over/Under Total Line: 205.5

In their last game the Pelicans were on the road and beat the L.A. Lakers 113-92 where they covered the 9.5-point spread. New Orleans has covered in 3 straight games. The total for the Lakers game went Over, which was the winning bet the previous game as well. The Pelicans have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and they have an O/U record of 6-4. Overall, the Pelicans have won 3 in a row and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

On the season the Pelicans have been a good betting team both at home (22-16 ATS) as well as on the road (20-16). They have covered in the spread in their last 2 games on the road, but in their previous 2 away games they failed to cover. New Orleans has an O/U home record of 23-15 and an O/U road record of 17-19. In their last 3 games on the road the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Kings have lost 3 in a row and in their last game in a 115-111 loss to the Houston Rockets on the road they did cover the big 10.5-point spread. They did not cover in their previous 2 games. The total for the Rockets game went Over and in the previous 3 games for Sacramento the Under was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Kings are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 5-5. Overall, the Kings have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

The Kings have not been a good bet on the season both at home (14-21-2 ATS) and on the road (15-22 ATS). They have failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 5 home games including their last one. Sacramento has a home O/U record of 19-18 and a road O/U record of 21-16. In their last home game the posted total went Over while in the previous 2 games the posted total went Under.

These teams have met twice this season once in New Orleans and once in Sacramento and the Pelicans won both games. They also covered the spread in both games and the posted total went Over for each game.

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Some other angles to consider:

In the last 13 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 10 times.

The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.

The Kings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against the Pelicans.

This season the Kings are 16-21 at home and the Pelicans are 15-21 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

New Orleans Pelicans: 40-34 SU / 42-32 ATS
Sacramento Kings: 26-48 SU / 29-43-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• NO is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• NO is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• NO has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
• SAC is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• SAC is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• SAC has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Rankings

New Orleans Pelicans: 91.09
Sacramento Kings: 86.73

Injury Report


(!)[G] 01/22/2015 – Jrue Holiday out indefinitely ( Ankle )


(!)[F] 04/02/2015 – Rudy Gay expected to miss Friday vs. New Orleans ( Concussion )
(!)[G] 02/26/2015 – Darren Collison out indefinitely ( Hip )
[F] 01/01/2015 – Eric Moreland out for season ( Shoulder )

Free ATS Pick

The Pelicans are 1.5 games out of the last playoff spot in the Western Conference and in their last 8 games they face 5 teams that are in the top 6 in the West. They have beaten the Kings twice this season, but Sacramento has won 3 straight home games.

The Pelicans are hot winners of 3 straight and while the Kings are coming off a decent performance in their 4-point loss to the Rockets on the road where they shot 50% from the floor and scored 72 points in the paint. However, that will not happen in this game with Pelicans’ C Anthony Davis in the paint. The Pelicans will win this game and cover the spread sweeping the Kings this season.

Take the PELICANS -5.5

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