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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction and Betting Pick

The 52-25 Memphis Grizzlies host the 41-35 New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference match up on 4/8/2015 at FedExForum Memphis, TN; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Grizzlies -5
Over/Under Total Line: 186

In their last game the Pelicans came up with a big home win beating the Golden State Warriors 103-100 where they covered as a 4.5-point underdog. In the previous 2 games for New Orleans they failed to cover the spread. The total for the Warriors game went Under, which was the 3rd straight game where that was the winning bet. In their last 10 games New Orleans is 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6. Overall, the Pelicans are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

On the season the Pelicans are 23-16 ATS at home and 20-18 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games including their last 2. While the Over has been the winning bet for the Pelicans at home (O/U 23-16) the Under has been the bet to make for them on the road (O/U 21-17). In their last 2 games on the road the posted total has gone Under both times.

The Grizzlies were at home in their last game and the lost to the Washington Wizards 92-83 where they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. In the previous 2 Memphis games they covered the spread. The total for the Wizards game went Under the posted total and in their last 5 games the total has gone Under every time. In their last 10 games the Grizzlies are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6. Overall, Memphis is 5-5 in their last 10 games.

This season the Grizzlies have an ATS home record of 18-19-2 ATS and an ATS road record of 18-20 ATS. While Memphis did not cover in their last home game they did cover in their previous 2. The Under has definitely been the winning wager for the Grizzlies at home this season with a home O/U record of 13-25-1 while on the road they have an O/U record of 19-18-1. In their last 4 home games and in 5 of their last 6 the posted total has gone Under.

This is the 4th game of the season between these 2 teams and the Pelicans have taken 2 of 3 games from the Grizzlies both at home. The home team has won and covered the spread in all 3 games this season and the total has gone Under 2 times and over once.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Grizzlies.

In the last 10 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 8 times.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Memphis the total has gone Under every time.

This season the Grizzlies are 29-10 at home and the Pelicans are 16-22 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

New Orleans Pelicans: 41-35 SU / 42-34 ATS
Memphis Grizzlies: 52-25 SU / 36-39-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• NO is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• NO is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• NO has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MEM is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MEM is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• MEM has an Under record of 22-5 in their last 27 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

New Orleans Pelicans: 91.11
Memphis Grizzlies: 93.74

Injury Report

PELICANS

(!)[G] 01/22/2015 – Jrue Holiday out indefinitely ( Ankle )

MEMPHIS

[F] 04/04/2015 – Jeff Green injured last game, “?” Wednesday vs. New Orleans ( Back )
(!)[F] 04/07/2015 – Zach Randolph “?” Wednesday vs. New Orleans ( Back )
[G] 04/06/2015 – Tony Allen out indefinitely ( Hamstring )

Free NBA Pick

The Pelicans are coming off a HUGE win over the Warriors and coupled with a Oklahoma City loss New Orleans is now ½ game up on the Thunder for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Pelicans have won 5 of their last 6 games and they have also won 6 of their last 8 games facing the Grizzlies. Memphis is in a slump losing 4 of their last 6 games they are in the 3rd spot in the West 1 game back of the 2nd place Rockets. The home team has won and covered in the 3 games between these 2 teams this season, but with the Pelicans playing well they may not get the W tonight in Memphis, but they will cover the spread.

Take the PELICANS +5

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