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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Houston Rockets Pick – Odds – Free ATS Predictions

The 53-26 Houston Rockets host the 43-36 New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference match up on 3/12/2015 at Toyota Center Houston, TX; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Rockets -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 200

In their last game the Pelicans were at home and beat the Phoenix Suns 90-75 where they covered the spread as the 9-point favorite. They did not cover in their previous game, but in 2 of their last 3 they have done so. The total for the Suns game went Under, which was the 5th straight game for New Orleans where that was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Pelicans are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7. Overall, New Orleans has won 6 of their last 10 games.

The Pelicans have been a better home betting team (24-16 ATS) than on the road (20-19 ATS) this season. In their last 3 road games they have failed to cover the spread. On the season New Orleans has a home O/U record of 23-17 and on the road they have an O/U record of 17-22. In their last 3 games on the road the posted total has gone Under every time.

The Rockets lost their 2nd straight game in their last one where they were at home and lost to the San Antonio Spurs at home 104-103, but did cover the spread as a 3.5-point underdog. Houston has covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The total for the Spurs game went Over and that has been the winning bet in their last 3 games. In their last 10 games they have an ATS record of 6-4 and an O/U record of 6-4. While the Rockets have lost 2 in a row they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

On the season the Rockets have been a solid bet at home (24-15 ATS) as well as on the road (22-18 ATS). They have covered the spread in their last 2 home games. Houston has an O/U record at home of 17-22 and an O/U road record of 21-19. In their last 5 home games the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Pelicans have taken 2 of 3 games from the Rockets this season, but Houston won the last match up. New Orleans covered the spread in the first 2 games, but the Rockets covered in the last one. In all 3 games between these 2 teams this season the posted total has gone Under every time.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Pelicans are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Rockets in Houston.

The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 27 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 20-6-1.

This season the Rockets are 28-11 at home and the Pelicans are 16-23 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

New Orleans Pelicans: 43-36 SU / 44-35 ATS
Houston Rockets: 53-26 SU / 46-33 ATS

New Orleans at Houston Betting Trends

• NO is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• NO is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• NO has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• HOU is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games.
• HOU is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss.
• HOU has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

New Orleans Pelicans: 91.26
Houston Rockets: 94.11

Injury Report


(!)[G] 04/11/2015 – Jrue Holiday probable Sunday vs. Houston ( Leg )
(!)[F] 04/11/2015 – Anthony Davis probable Sunday vs. Houston ( Throat )


[G] 03/30/2015 – Patrick Beverley out for season ( Wrist )
[F] 04/08/2015 – Donatas Motiejunas out for season ( Back )

New Orleans at Houston Pick

This game is big for both teams, especially for the Pelicans, who are tied with the Oklahoma City Thunder for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference and hold the tiebreaker with OKC. The Pelicans had lost 6 straight at Houston before beating the Rockets there earlier this season.

James Harden had a double-double in the loss to the Spurs, but only had 16 points on 5/19 shooting. He will bounce back tonight and while the Rockets have only lost 2 straight home games once this season it will not be twice after tonight’s game. At home Houston will win and cover the spread.

Free ATS Prediction: Take the ROCKETS -4.5

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