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New England Patriots vs. Carolina Panthers Point Spread Prediction

Time: 8:40 PM EST Monday November 18, 2013, ESPN

The Carolina Panthers host the New England Patriots in a non conference match up.

In their last games the New England Patriots beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 55-31 at home as a 6 point favorite. The Carolina Panthers won a tight defensive battle 10-9 over the 49ers on the road as a 6 point underdog.

New England beat the Panthers 20-10 at home in their last meeting on Dec 13/2009.

The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against New England.

The Underdog has a 4-1 ATS record in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

The road team has covered the spread in 4 out of the last 5 games.

This season Carolina is 3-1 at home and New England is 2-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at Bovada
Point Spread: Carolina -2
Over/Under Total Line: 47.5

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New England Patriots: 7-2 SU 5-4 ATS
Carolina Panthers: 6-3 SU 6-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• NE is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
• NE is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• NE is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• CAR is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• CAR is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• CAR is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Sagarin Power Rankings
New England Patriots: 25.31
Carolina Panthers: 25.21

Key Player Injuries

New England
[RB] 11/17/2013 – Shane Vereen Prob Monday (Wrist)
[CB] 11/16/2013 – Aqib Talib Prob Monday (Hip)
[CB] 11/16/2013 – Alfonzo Dennard Doub Monday (Knee)
[DL] 11/3/2013 – Tommy Kelly I-R (Knee)
[T] 10/29/2013 – Sebastian Volimer I-R (Leg)
[LB] 10/16/2013 – Jerod Mayo I-R (Pectoral)
[DL] 10/3/2013 – Vince Wilfork I-R (Foot)

[FB] 11/15/2013 – Michael Tobert Prob Monday (Personal)
[WR] 11/12/2013 – Marvin McNutt Ques Monday (Ankle)
[G] 11/16/2013 – Chris Scott Out Monday (Knee)
[LB] 11/16/2013 – Chase Blackburn Out Monday (Foot)
[TE] 11/16/2013 – Ben Hartsock Out Monday (Knee)
[CB] 11/15/2013 – James Dockery I-R (Shoulder)
[C] 11/5/2013 – Jeff Byers I-R (Foot)
[G] 10/16/2013 – Amini Silatolu I-R (Knee)
[S] 9/17/2013 – Charles Godfrey I-R (Achilles)
[T] 9/11/2013 – Garry Williams I-R (Knee)

Next Game
Denver @ New England
Carolina @ Miami

Our Selection : Many still think of the Patriots as a passing team. That’s not true in recent seasons. In 2012 the Patriots did finish 4th in passing but also finished 7th in rushing offense. This season New England ranks 18th in passing offense and 9th in rushing offense. Some of the change in offensive philosophy has been made because of the lack of weapons in the passing game. But our thoughts are that the weak pass protection requires a balanced attack for Brady to survive.
Here are some stats to ponder. In the 2012 regular season the Patriots went 12-4. In 4 game that regular season New England did not manage to get 100 or more rushing yards. All four of those games were losses. In 2013 regular season New England is 7-2. They have failed to reach 100 yards on the ground in 3 games. They lost 2 of those 3 games and many will say that they were very fortunate to win the other.
Tonight they face the No. 3 rushing defense in the league with 82 yards per game allowed. The Panthers have allowed only two teams to rush over 100 yards with the 49ers and Bills both getting over that number.
Of course we have to keep in mind that Carolina may be a little flat after their huge road win last week over San Francisco and the so called genius (Did he get that name before spygate?) has had an extra week to prepare for the game.
Take the Carolina Panthers -2 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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