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NCAA Free Point Spread Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers versus Baylor Bears

Time: 12:40 PM EST Friday March 21, 2014, truTV

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

The 11th seed Nebraska Cornhuskers face the 6th seed Baylor Bears in the 2nd round of the West Region.

In their last games: Nebraska lost to Ohio State 71-67 in the Big 10 conference tournament and Baylor lost to Iowa State 74-65 in the Big 12 conference tournament.

In their loss to Ohio State Nebraska had a 3-point lead at halftime, but for the game struggled with their shot with a FG% of 36.7%.

In their loss to Iowa State Baylor was outscored by 14 points in the 2nd half. For the game they only shot 40.4% from the floor and allowed the Cyclones to shoot 50% from the floor.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Baylor caught fire in the 2nd half of the season and won 10 of their last 12 games.

Nebraska had won 3 straight and beat a top 10 Wisconsin team to end the regular season before losing to Ohio State.

The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Baylor -3.5
Total Line: 131
Money Line: Cornhuskers +160 / Bears -180

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 19-12 SU 20-10 ATS
Baylor Bears: 24-11 SU 13-14-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• NEB is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• NEB is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• NEB has an Under record of 12-4 in their last 16 games.
• BAY is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• BAY is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
• BAY has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 81.94
Baylor Bears: 85.74

Key Player Injuries

[G] 01/28/2014 – Deverell Biggs dismissed from team ( Dismissed )
[F] 11/07/2013 – Jordan Tyrance has left team ( Personal )

[G] 11/08/2013 – Allerik Freeman out indefinitely ( Hand )

Point Spread Pick:

It was a good run for Cinderella before the clock struck 12 and the Buckeyes roared back from an 18 point deficit to get the outright win in the Big Ten Quarterfinal game. Nebraska was a poor 3-8 as a visitor and only 1-3 on neutral court this season and we just can’t see them rebounding from that loss and changing their away success against a top flight team. The Big 12 Final wasn’t decided until the last 1:10 before Iowa State when on an 8-3 run to win by 9. The loss by Baylor was only their second in their last 12 games. In that stretch they beat 5 tournament teams in Kansas State (2), Oklahoma State, Iowa State, Oklahoma and Texas.
Take the Baylor Bears -3.5

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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