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NCAAB Prediction – West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Pick

The No. 23 West Virginia Mountaineers visit the No. 22 Oklahoma State Cowboys on 2/21/2015 at the Gallagher-Iba Arena in Big 12 action at 2 PM.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 134

In their last game West Virginia got the win and the point spread cover Kansas 62-61 as 1.5 point home dog. The 123 points scored fell well short of the 148-point total line. In their latest Oklahoma State were beaten by a hot Iowa State team 70-65 as a small 2-point favorite. The loss was the second in a row straight up and against the spread for the Cowboys after winning and covering three in a row.

Historically in this new Big 12 match-up Oklahoma State has won all four games and getting point spread victories in the first two games before back-to-back ATS wins by the Mountaineers. The total has been split with two unders bookended by two overs.

West Virginia has been a solid scoring team this season ranking 34th in the nation with 74.5 point per game. Their defense hasn’t been as strong coming into this match as the No. 152 scoring defense allowing 65.6 points per game. On the boards the Mountaineers hold an edge over their opponents this season totaling 37.3 RPG versus 34.5. Shooting percentage has surprisingly been in favor of their opposition with their opponents having a 46.3 FG% versus their 41.1.

Oklahoma State has outscored their opponents by an average of 6.9 points per game putting 67.7 points on the board per game while allowing 60.8. On the glass the Cowboys have been outrebounded 34.5 to 33.4, but their shooting defense has been a stellar No. 41 on the season allowing opponents just 39.5 from the field versus their own 43.8.

This season Oklahoma State is 11-3 at home and West Virginia is 4-3 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

West Virginia Mountaineers: 20-6 SU / 13-11 ATS
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 17-9 SU / 13-10 ATS

Betting Trends

• WVU is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• WVU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• WVU has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
• OSU is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• OSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• OSU has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

West Virginia Mountaineers: 86.55
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 85.55

Injury Report

[F] 11/20/2014 – Kevin Noreen expected to miss 1-2 months ( Undisclosed )
(!)[F] 02/15/2015 – Devin Williams injured last game, probable Monday vs. Kansas ( Thumb )


Free ATS Pick

The line is climbing from an opener of Ok. State -3.5 to the current -4.5 number and I think the move is genuine. The Mountaineers have been brilliant against the bottom feeders of the Big 12 with a 3-0 record on the road outscoring TCU by 11, Texas Tech by 11and K-State by 6. However, when playing on the road against the over .500 teams in the conference West Virginia has gone 0-3 losing to Texas by 27, Oklahoma by 19 and Iowa State by 20.

Take The Oklahoma State Cowboys -4.5

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