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NCAAB Prediction – Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Pick

The No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks face the No. 21 West Virginia Mountaineers at the WVU Colliseum in Big 12 action on Monday February 16, 2015.

In their last game Kansas beat Baylor 74-64 as a -7.5 point betting choice the 138 combined points matched the total closing line of 138. The win was the second in the row for the Jayhawks after dropping a game to Oklahoma State and their seventh in their last eight games. Against the spread Kansas has gone 6-3-1 versus the number in their last 10 and the under has a slight edge with the Jayhawks’ L10 games going 5-4-1 to the under.

West Virginia lost to Iowa State 79-59 in their latest as a 7-point underdog. The 138 points scored by the two teams fell well below the 154.5 over/under line. The point spread loss was the fourth consecutive by the Mountaineers and seventh in their last ten games. Versus the total line West Virginia has gone 4-6 in their L10 games.

These two clubs have faced each other only four times with Kansas winning the first three games before losing versus the Mountaineers on the road in their last meeting. The betting has been split with each team going 2-2 versus the point spread and the over has been the total play with the last three of the four matches going over the closing line.

On the season Kansas has averaged 72.2 points while allowing 64.2 for a solid 8.0 differential. West Virginia has scored 75 per game while allowing opponents 65.8 for an impressive 9.2 point scoring margin. The Jayhawks hold edges in shooting percentage 44.3 to 41.2 and in free throw percentage 70.8 to 65.1. The Mountaineers do hold a large edge in steals with 12 per game compared to 6.5 by the visitors.

Kansas leads Iowa State by 2 games in trying to win their 11th consecutive Big 12 regular-season title.

This season West Virginia is 9-3 at home and Kansas is 5-3 on the road.

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Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kansas -1
Over/Under Total Line: OFF

ATS and SU Records

Kansas Jayhawks: 21-4 SU / 15-8-1 ATS
West Virginia Mountaineers: 19-6 SU / 12-11 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• KU is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
• KU is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• KU has an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
• WVU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• WVU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• WVU has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

Kansas Jayhawks: 90.87
West Virginia Mountaineers: 86.17

Key Player Injuries

[G] 11/13/2014 – Conner Frankamp left the team ( Personal )

[F] 11/20/2014 – Kevin Noreen expected to miss 1-2 months ( Undisclosed )
(!)[F] 02/15/2015 – Devin Williams injured last game, probable Monday vs. Kansas ( Thumb )
[F] 02/15/2015 – Brandon Watkins “?” Monday vs. Kansas ( Knee )

Free ATS Pick

Sure this a square play with the public all over the Jayhawks, but I don’t have faith in the home team here to play defense. West Virginia has allowed 77.25 points per game over their last four and will be hard pressed to match those numbers against Kansas who has held 8 of their last 10 Big 12 opponents not named Iowa State to fewer than 65 points.

Take the Kansas Jayhawks -2‏

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