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NCAAB Prediction – Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats Betting Pick

College basketball betting action has the No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks vs. Kansas State Wildcats at the Bramlage Coliseum on 2/23/2015 at 9 PM ET in a Big 12 match up.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kansas -6
Over/Under Total Line: OFF

In their last game Kansas was favored by 13 but could only extend the margin to 9 beating TCU 81-72 but losing versus the spread. The combined points of 153 soared over the closing total line of 131.5. The win by the Jayhawks was only their third in the last five games with additional victories over Baylor at home and Texas Tech as a visitor and losses on the road to Oklahoma State and West Virginia.

On the season Kansas is a strong 22-5 straight up and a money making15-11 versus the betting line. Versus the over/under line the Jayhawks’ games have a marginal lean to the over with an overall mark of 13-12 in lined games. On the road the numbers are 5-5 ATS and 4-6 against the O/U.

Offensively Kansas has put up an average of 72.1 points per game this season on 44.9% shooting from the field and an impressive 40.9% from behind the arc. Defensively the Jayhawks have allowed 64.4 PPG on 39.6% shooting. On the boards is where they have arguably their best edge out rebounding their opponent by 7.1 RPG.

Kansas State lost to Baylor 69-42 failing to cover the spread as an 8.5 point underdog. The 111 total points scored fell far short of the bookmaker’s 125.5 over/under line. The loss was the seventh in eight games for the Wildcats and their fourth ATS loss in their last six games.

In the current campaign K-State is 13-15 overall going 14-11 against the point spread. At home they have a winning record of 10-4 while going 8-6 ATS. Scoring has been an issue for the Wildcats so it comes as no surprise that their games have an under trend with eight of the 22 lined games going under the total and a very profitable under favoring 3-8 as the host.

Scoring wise Kansas State has struggled putting up just 62.9 points per game with a FG% of 43.4 and an embarrassing 67% from the charity stripe. Their defense has been mediocre allowing a decent 63.6 PPG but a poor 44.7% from the field.

This will be the second meeting between these two clubs this season. In the earlier meeting at Kansas the hometown Jayhawks beat the Wildcats 68-57 missing the point spread cover by half a point as a -11 point betting choice. The win by Kansas was their eighth in the last 10 games in this series. Against the line over that stretch the Jayhawks have padded their backers’ bankrolls with a 7-3 ATS mark although they have failed to get the money in the last two matches.

Here are some other angles to consider.

Kansas State is 3-7 this season facing ranked teams.

Kansas is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games at Kansas State.

Kansas has lost 2 of their last 3 road games.

Kansas is 7-1 in their last 8 games facing Kansas State.

This season Kansas State is 10-4 at home and Kansas is 5-4 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Kansas Jayhawks: 22-5 SU / 15-10-1 ATS
Kansas State Wildcats: 13-15 SU / 12-11-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• KU is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• KU is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• KU has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
• KSU is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• KSU is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• KSU has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Kansas Jayhawks: 90.52
Kansas State Wildcats: 78.83

Player Injuries

[G] 11/13/2014 – Conner Frankamp left the team ( Personal )

(!)[F] 02/08/2015 – Blake Griffin out indefinitely ( Elbow )

Free ATS Pick

The Jayhawks have not impressed on the road in Big 12 play this season with a won/loss record of 4-3 and a 3-4 mark against the spread. K-State on the other hand has gone 5-2 as a host in conference games with the two losses being by 4 to Texas and by 6 to West Virginia.

Take the Kansas State Wildcats +6.5

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