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NCAAB Prediction – Arizona Wildcats vs. Utah Utes Betting Pick

The 22-5 Utah Utes host the 25-3 Arizona Wildcats in a Pac 12 Conference match up on Saturday February 27, 2015; Tipoff at the Jon M. Huntsman Center is at 9 p.m. ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Utah -1.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF

In their last game the No. 7 Arizona destroyed Colorado 82-54 as a 9-point betting choice for their fourth point spread cover in their last five games. The 136 points scored in the match sent over bettors to the windows to cash their tickets.

On the season Arizona is 22-5 going a profitable 17-11 against the betting line including 6-4 on the road. Versus the total line the Wildcats are 13-15 overall and 6-4 away.

The Wildcats have ranked No. 25 in scoring shooting an 8th ranked 49.1% from the field. They do an adequate job from 3-point land sinking 35.7 of their shoots and are good on the boards with 36.8 per game. Defensively Arizona really shines allowing opponents just 58.6 points per game on 39.6% shooting from the field and NCAA low 24.8 rebounds per game.

The No. 13 Utah like Arizona crushed their last opponent sending Arizona State home licking their wounds after the 83-41 massacre. The lack of scoring by the Sun Devils contributed greatly in this game going under the total line of 129.5. The UNDER was the third consecutive for the Utes who’s defense has been impressive this season.‏

Over this campaign the Utes are 22-5 including in that is a perfect 16-0 at home. Against the spread they’ve been very profitable this season with a 19-7 record including 11-4 at home. The total numbers overall are 12-13 but an over favoring 10-4 at the Jon M. Huntsman Center.

Offensively, the Utes have put up an average of 73 points per game with the No. 6 ranked FG% of 49.5 and the No. 11 3-point% of 40.4. Defensively they stand out allowing a meagre 55.6 points on 37.6% shooting from the field. Like Arizona Utah is strong on the glass allowing the opposition 26.3 rebounds per game.

In this match-up Arizona has won ten in a row getting the point spread cover in six of those games including three straight. Earlier this season at home Arizona crushed Utah beating them by a score of 69-51 as a 5.5 point home favorite. The under has been the way to go in recent matches with a four game run of three unders and one push. Note that the road team has covered the spread in eight of the last eleven games between these two teams including in that is Arizona’s 4-1 ATS record in their last five games against the Utes in Utah.
This season Utah is 16-10 at home and Arizona is 7-3 on the road.‏

SU and ATS Point Spread Record

Arizona Wildcats: 25-3 SU / 17-11 ATS
Utah Utes: 22-5 SU / 18-7-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• ZONA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• ZONA is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• ZONA has an Under record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UTAH is 38-12-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.
• UTAH is 41-16-2 ATS in their last 59 games overall.
• UTAH has an Under record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Arizona Wildcats: 93.10
Utah Utes: 91.27

Player Injuries

[F] 01/07/2015 – Craig Victor left the team ( Personal )
[G] 02/14/2015 – Trey Mason out a month ( Knee )


Free Pick

Utah does have three losses in Pac 12 play including an 18-point beat down by Arizona, but all have come on the road. At home they’ve yet to taste defeat in 16 games outscoring their opponent by 25.4 PPG. The scoring margin doesn’t drop much versus the Pac 12 games as a host with the Utes putting up 77.62 points while holding the visitor to 53 PPG. Arizona has looked unbeatable at times but not so much on the road where they all three of their losses have come this season including two in the conference. They lost by 3 points to the lowly Sun Devils 81-78 back on 2/7 and 58-56 to an average Oregon State on 1/11.

Take the Utah Utes -1.5‏

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