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NCAAB Pick – Robert Morris Colonials vs. North Florida Osprey Betting

The 19-14 Robert Morris Colonials face the 23-11 North Florida Osprey in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a South Region play-in game on Wednesday, March 18 2015. Tipoff for the game at University of Dayton Arena is 6:40 PM.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Florida -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 139
Moneyline: Robert Morris +130 / North Florida -150

In their last game Robert Morris beat St. Francis BRK 66-63 in the final of the Northeast Conference Tournament as a 5.5 point road dog. The win was the Colonials sixth straight and their third straight point spread cover. The 129 points scored in the game fell just under the total line of 130.5 for their third under in their five lined games.

North Florida beat South Carolina Upstate in the final of the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament extending their winning streak to 8 games. The ATS win was their second straight to even their seasonal spread mark at 2-2.

This is North Florida’s first ever NCAA Tournament berth

North Florida ended the season winning their last 8 games.

Robert Morris ended the season winning 6 straight.

North Florida has a solid offense ranking 25th in the nation in points per game and 39th in team FG%.

The winner of this game as the 16th seed in the South will face Duke in the next game.

SU and ATS Records

Robert Morris Colonials: 19-14 SU / 5-3 ATS
North Florida Osprey: 23-11 SU / 2-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• RM is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• RM is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• RB has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.
• UNF is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
• UNF is 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games.
• UNF has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games after an ATS win.

Sagarin Rankings

Robert Morris Colonials: 71.16
North Florida Osprey: 73.94

Injury Reports


[G] 11/26/2014 – Charles Oliver left the program ( Personal )
[G] 01/15/2015 – Jafar Kinsey has left team ( Personal )


[F] 11/14/2014 – Karlos Odum out for season ( Achilles )

Free ATS Pick

Statistically Robert Morris had the more difficult strength of schedule, but that’s based on their conference games. The Colonials non-conference schedule didn’t have many challenges with the RMU failing on the ones they did losing to North Carolina 44 and to Buffalo by 15. I believe North Florida really stands out for their play against the Big Ten. While they did go just 1-2 versus that conference they lost to Northwestern by 2, beat Purdue by 3 and lost by 10 to Iowa. They’re the better shooting club and if they can keep the steals down they should have no problem defeating Robert Morris.

Take North Florida -3

Get more bankroll padding expert college basketball picks from Rich Crew and a slew of other handicappers throughout the March Madness Tournament at Sports Betting Stats

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