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NCAAB Pick Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Kentucky Wildcats Betting Odds

In a Midwest Region Elite 8 match up the top seed 37-0 Kentucky Wildcats face the 3rd seed 32-5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Tip-off time is March 28, 2015 at 8:49pm in the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland Ohio.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kentucky -11.5
Over/Under Total Line: 137

In their last NCAA Tournament games Notre Dame beat Wichita State 81-70 and Kentucky beat West Virginia 78-39.

Kentucky is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games and Notre Dame is 13-3-1 in Fighting Irish last 17 NCAA Tournament games.

Kentucky ranks 3rd in the nation on defense only giving up an average of 53.9 ppg.

Both of these teams finished the season in the top 25 and on the season facing ranked teams Notre Dame is 8-2 and Kentucky is 7-0.

Notre Dame has won 8 straight games.

In their rout of West Virginia Kentucky held the Mountaineers to 24.1% shooting.

Notre Dame has covered the spread in all 3 of their NCAA Tournament games and Kentucky failed to cover in their first 2 tournament games, but did do so against West Virginia.

Below are some key handicapping stats for this match-up with an against the spread pick from one of our professional sports handicappers.

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SU and ATS Picks

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 32-5 SU / 16-13 ATS
Kentucky Wildcats: 37-0 SU / 19-16-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• ND is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• ND is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ND has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 non-conference games.
• UK is 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
• UK is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UK has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 90.49
Kentucky Wildcats: 100.53

Injury Report

NOTRE DAME

NONE

KENTUCKY

F] 12/12/2014 – Alex Poythress out for season ( Knee )

*This preview was written by our staff writers not Rich Crew. However the analysis and pick are written by Rich*

Free NCAAB Pick

I thought about taking the points and backing the Fighting Irish, but my confidence waned as I thought about how easily Kentucky is extending the margins. I do think that ND may be their toughest test of the season but they haven’t played anything near the bottom feeders of the NCAA and have won by more than this game’s 11.5 points in 12 of their last 13 games. So, that put me on to the total. I think the odds maker has this line out of whack after WVU could manage only 39 points against them. I was on the under in that game and I’m certainly a believer in the Kentucky defense, but they have yet to face a team that shots like Notre Dame. The Irish were on fire against the Shockers sinking 55.6% of their shots from the field and I think that wouldn’t need a repeat of that to hit in the mid 60’s here. The Wildcats can play slow ball but I don’t think they take that approach against the sharp shooting ND. Kentucky has put up 72 points or greater in 10 of their last 14 with three of the four times they were held to fewer coming against top 27 scoring defenses. In those three games they scored an average of 6.5 points over their opponent’s seasonal average and with Notre Dame allowing 65.7 PPG a duplication of that feat would put them above the scoring threshold I believe I need here.

Take the OVER 136‏

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