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NCAAB Pick North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Wisconsin Badgers Betting Odds

In a West Region Sweet 16 match up the 4th seed North Carolina Tar Heels face the 1st seed Wisconsin Badgers on Thursday, March 26, 2015. Tip off at the Staples Center is set for 7:47 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Wisconsin -5.5
Over/Under Total Line: 143

In their last NCAA Tournament game North Carolina rebounded nicely after a flat performance against Harvard to knock off a tough Arkansas team 87-78. The winning margin of nine points gave UNC bettors a point spread cover. The win was their fifth in the last six games and the ATS win was their fourth over the same span. The 165 points scored in the game went OVER the 158 point total for their third OVER in the last four games.

On the season North Carolina is 26-11 straight up with a money making 20-16-1 against the spread record and a 20-14-1 O/U record. On a neutral site they’re a very good 9-2 beating some top flight teams in Virginia, Louisville, Ohio State, UCLA and Davidson and of course Arkansas in their latest. On the betting side of things they were a very profitable 8-3 ATS on a neutral court and 6-4 versus the total line.

Wisconsin got the win 72-65 against Oregon, but didn’t get the cover with winning margin falling way short of their 12 point handicap the Badgers were assess by the odds makers. The win was their 18th in the last 19 games and the ATS loss was their 7th in their last 11 games. The 137 points in the game went UNDER the closing total of 143 points for their 9th UNDER in the last 14 games they played.

Over this campaign Wisconsin is 33-3 SU with and a juice losing ATS mark of 18-17-1 and an UNDER favoring 16-20-1 versus the over/under line. In games played on a neutral site the Badgers are a perfect 8-0 with wins over six tournament teams before getting their two victories in the tournament. Against the spread and versus the total they went 4-4 in those games.

Wisconsin is 4-2-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.

Wisconsin is riding an 8-game winning streak.

North Carolina has won 5 of their last 6 games with their lone loss in that span coming to Notre Dame in the ACC title game.

This season North Carolina is 6-7 facing ranked teams and Wisconsin is 2-2.

Below are some key handicapping stats for this match-up with against the spread pick from one of our professional sports handicappers.

SU and ATS Records

North Carolina Tar Heels: 26-11 SU / 20-16-1 ATS
Wisconsin Badgers: 33-3 SU / 18-17-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• UNC is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• UNC is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
• UNC has an Under record of 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• WISC is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
• WISC is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• WISC has an an Over record of 5-3 in their last 8 games.

Sagarin Rankings

North Carolina Tar Heels: 90.36
Wisconsin Badgers: 94.68

Injury Reports


[F] 12/30/2014 – Sasha Seymore out for season ( ACL )
[F] 02/12/2015 – Desmond Hubert out for season ( ACL )
(!)[F] 03/22/2015 – Kennedy Meeks injured last game, “?” ( Knee )


[G] 03/20/2015 – Traevon Jackson out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[G] 11/13/2014 – Jordan Hill out for season ( Redshirt )
[G] 11/13/2014 – T.J. Schlundt out for season ( Redshirt )


The Badgers have yet to lose on a neutral court beating not one or two tournament teams but 8! Sure they were fortunate to beat Michigan State in the Big Ten Final, but I have no doubt in my mind that the Spartans would easily put away the Tar Heels. The spread of course comes in to play and Wisconsin certainly isn’t some covering machine but they have won by 7 or greater points in their last 13 wins.

Take the Wisconsin Badgers -5.5

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