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NCAAB Pick Michigan State Spartans vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Odds

In a East Region 3rd round game the 7th seed 24-11 Michigan State Spartans face the 2nd seed 30-3 Virginia Cavaliers on Sunday, March 22nd. Tip off for the game at the Time Warner Cable Arena is scheduled for 12:10 ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Virginia -5
Over/Under Total Line: 116.5

In their opening NCAA Tournament game Michigan State beat Georgia 70-63 as a 6-point favorite getting the point spread cover by 1 –point. The win was their fifth in their last six games with their only a loss in overtime to Wisconsin in the conference final.

Virginia beat Belmont 79-67 as a prohibitive favorite 17 point betting choice. The twelve point margin failed to cover the spread for Virginia’s fourth ATS loss in their last six games.

There isn’t much history between these two teams, but they did meet in tournament last season with Michigan State getting the win 61-59 but Virginia bettors cashing their ticket with Spartans falling short of the cover by half a point.

Michigan State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

Virginia has the nation’s best defense only allowing an average of 50.7 ppg.

Virginia lost 2 of their last 3 games of the regular season.

Michigan State had won 4 straight before losing to Wisconsin in OT in the Big 10 Tournament title game.

These teams ended the season in the top 25 and on the season Michigan State is 2-6 facing ranked teams and Virginia is 4-3.

SU and ATS Records

Michigan State Spartans: 24-11 SU / 19-16 ATS
Virginia Cavaliers: 30-3 SU / 17-14 ATS

Betting Trends

• MSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• MSU is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games.
• MSU has an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 games.
• UVA is 30-13-2 ATS in their last 45 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UVA is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
• UVA has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.

Sagarin Rankings

Michigan State Spartans: 87.58
Virginia Cavaliers: 94.97

Player Injuries


[F] 02/09/2015 – Javon Bess out for season ( Foot )



*This preview was written by our staff writers not Rich Crew. However the analysis and pick are written by Rich*
Check out Rich Crew’s expertly written handicapping analysis on major NCAAB tournament games at , also included in his previews are researched winning betting picks that are absolutely free to his readers looking to pad their college basketball bankroll.


The Cavaliers defense isn’t quite the wall it’s been throughout the season with three overs in their last four games and allowing 67 plus in their last two. The Spartans have been on an over roll with 8 of the last 10 crossing over the total number. Michigan State put up 69 in regulation against Wisconsin which is 12.4 point over their season average of the 9th ranked scoring defense.

Take the OVER 117‏

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