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NCAA Free ATS Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys versus Gonzaga Bulldogs

Time: 4:40 PM EST Friday March 21, 2014, TNT

Location: Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl, San Diego, California

The 8th seed Gonzaga Bulldogs face the 9th seed Oklahoma State Cowboys in the 2nd round of the West Region.

In their last games: Gonzaga beat BYU 75-64 in the WCC tournament final and Oklahoma State lost to Kansas 77-70 in OT in the Big 12 conference tournament.

In their loss to BYU Gonzaga played well on both sides of the floor shooting 52.1% from the floor and they held the Cougars to a FG% of 35.6%.

In their loss to Kansas OSU played well in the 2nd half to force OT, but for the game they only shot a FG% of 37.9%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under every time.

Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Oklahoma State.

OSU played a much tougher schedule than Gonzaga going 3-7 facing top 25 teams with the Bulldogs losing their only game facing a ranked team.

Gonzaga is riding a 5-game winning streak.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma State -2
Total Line: 139
Money Line: Cowboys -140 / Bulldogs +120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 21-12 SU 13-15-1 ATS
Gonzaga Bulldogs: 28-6 SU 17-14-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• OSU is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• OSU is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
• OSU has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• GONZ is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• GONZ is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• GONZ is has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 88.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs: 86.89

Key Player Injuries

[G] 02/03/2014 – Stevie Clark dismissed from team ( Legal problems )
[F] 12/31/2013 – Michael Cobbins out for season ( Achilles )

No injuries to report at this time.

ATS Pick:

The Cowboys are the most talented team in this match-up but can they be relied upon to give it their best effort until the final buzzer sounds? What stands out to us is their inability to close out games. Sure taking Kansas on a neutral court and both Iowa State and Baylor on their home courts to overtime is nothing to be ashamed of, but they weren’t able to get the win in any of the three games. Gonzaga had an up and down season, but did win when they had to winning their last 2 regular season games before going on a 3-game tournament run to take the West Coast title. Rebounding has cost the Zags some games this season, but they are unlikely to lose the battle on the boards versus the Cowboys. Take the Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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