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NBA Prediction –Toronto Raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick

Toronto Raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers

The 13-46 Philadelphia 76ers host the 37-22 Toronto Raptors in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/2/2015 at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Raptors -7.5
Over/Under Total Line: 194

In their last game the Raptors lost to the woeful New York Knicks and they obviously did not cover as 11-point betting favorites. Not only have the Raptors lost 5 straight, but they have also failed to cover the spread in any of those games. In their last 10 games they have only covered the spread 3 times. In the New York loss the total points scored in the game went OVER the closing Over/Under line of 189.5 by 11.5 points. The previous 2 games by the Raptors had an Under total.

Overall on the season Toronto has been solid and they have the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference even with their 5-game skid. However, they have not been a good bet on the season at 27-31-1 ATS. They are over .500 on the road on the season at 16-12 and they have been a better road betting team (14-13 ATS) than at home (13-18 ATS).

The 76ers lost badly to the Indiana Pacers 94-74 in their last game and failed to cover the spread even being given 11 points. The total for that game went Under for the 2nd time in a row. While they have lost 7 of their last 10 games overall they have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home. Philadelphia is riding a streak of 3 straight UNDERS at home. While the 76ers are tied with the Minnesota Timberwolves for the 2nd fewest wins in the league they have been a decent bet at 29-28-2 ATS. At home this season they have been a profitable bet at 18-10 ATS.

The last time these teams met on January 23rd in Philadelphia the Raptors won 91-86, but the 76ers covered the 13-point spread. The Raptors covered the spread in the first match up on the season with the 76ers, but in the last 2 Philly has covered even though they lost. In the first game of the season between these 2 teams the total went Over, but the Under has been the winning bet in the last 2 games.

Bettors on the Raptors in Philly have been padding their bankrolls in the last several seasons, as they are 21-9-2 ATS in their last 32 games in the City of Brotherly Love. Toronto is riding a 7-game winning streak over the 76ers overall even though Philadelphia has covered in 2 of the 3 games facing them this season.

Some other angles to consider:

The Raptors have won all 3 games facing the 76ers this season.

The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between these 2 teams.

The Raptors have lost 5 straight and 6 of their last 10 games.

The Raptors are 7-0 in their last 7 games facing the 76ers.

This season the 76ers are 8-20 at home and the Raptors are 16-12 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Toronto Raptors: 37-22 SU / 27-31-1 ATS
Philadelphia 76ers: 13-46 SU / 29-28-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• TOR is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• TOR is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• TOR has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• PHI is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• PHI is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
• PHI has an Under record of 11-3 in their last 14 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

Toronto Raptors: 93.35
Philadelphia 76ers: 80.90

Injury Reports


(!)[G] 03/01/2015 – Kyle Lowry “?” Monday vs. Philadelphia ( Undisclosed )


[F] 03/01/2015 – Nerlens Noel is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Indiana ( Calf )
[F] 03/01/2015 – Robert Covington expected to miss Monday vs. Toronto ( Arm )
[F] 10/23/2014 – Joel Embiid out indefinitely ( Foot )
(!)[G] 01/24/2015 – Tony Wroten out for season ( ACL )
[F] 01/09/2015 – Andrei Kirilenko out indefinitely ( Suspension )

This one is a tough call and that is especially the case since Toronto’s leading scorer in Kyle Lowry may miss this game to rest. He did so in the last game and the Raptors lost to the New York Knicks, who have the fewest wins in the league.

Free ATS Pick

The 76ers are coming off their loss to the Pacers where they only shot 34.5% from the floor. However, the Pacers are solid on the defensive end of the floor ranking 5th in the league in opponents’ points allowed. The same cannot be said about the Raptors, who rank 20th in the league in that category. At home the 76ers have been a very good bet covering in 7 of their last 8 games in their house. The 76ers rank dead last in the league in scoring and the team ranks 2nd to last is the Knicks, who the Raptors lost to in their last game. Toronto may snap their losing streak tonight, but Philly will cover.

Take the 76ers +7.5

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