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NBA Prediction –Oklahoma Thunder vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Pick

The 38-23 Chicago Bulls host the 34-27 Oklahoma Thunder in a non-conference match up on 3/5/2015 at United Center, Chicago, IL; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Thunder -4
Over/Under Total Line: 200.5

The Thunder are coming off a thrilling 123-118 OT win over the Philadelphia 76ers. While OKC did get the win they did not come close to covering the 15-point spread and that snapped their 2-games where they had covered. The total for the game was set at 203 and it went Over and the last 4 games for the Thunder have all gone Over the posted total.

The Thunder have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games, but the 2 of those games where they did not cover came in their last 4 including their last one. In their last 7 games overall they have only faced 2 teams with winning record and they only covered in 1 of those games and that was in a loss. The Thunder have covered the spread on the road in their last 2 games, but overall they have not been a team to lay green on away from OKC, as they are 13-19-1 ATS in road games this season. The Over has been a winning bet with them as of late with the total going Over in 6 of their last 7 games including their last 4.

The Bulls are also coming off a win beating the Washington Wizards 97-92 and covering the 1.5-point spread at home. The total for the game was set low at 187 and the total went Over by 12 points. That snapped the Bulls record of the total going Under the previous 4 games.

Not only do the Bulls have a better overall record on the road than at home, but they have also been a better betting team away from the Windy City. At home this season they are only 13-19 ATS while on the road they are 15-14 ATS. However, the Over has been the solid home bet for them on the season with an O/U home record of 19-13 and a O/U record on the road of 9-19-1. Tonight’s game with the Thunder marks the end of their 7-game home stand where the posted total has gone Under 5 times.

This is the first game of the season between these 2 teams, as they meet again in Oklahoma City on March 15th. In the last several games between these 2 teams the Thunder have been the betting favorite the majority of the time. In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the favorite has covered 6 times. Not only have the Thunder covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games against the Bulls, but they have also covered in 4 of the last 5 games facing them in Chicago. Both team are coming off a game where the total went Under, but in the last 4 games between these teams the total has gone Under every time.

Some other angles to consider:

The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games facing the Bulls.

The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games facing the Bulls in Chicago.

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

The Thunder have won 2 in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games and the Bulls are coming off a win and are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

The Thunder have won their last 5 games against the Bulls.

This season the Bulls are 19-13 at home and the Thunder are 14-19 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Oklahoma Thunder: 34-27 SU / 30-29-2 ATS
Chicago Bulls: 38-23 SU / 28-33 ATS

Betting Trends

• OKC is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• OKC is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• OKC has an Over record of 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
• CHI is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• CHI is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• CHI has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Oklahoma Thunder: 92.56
Chicago Bulls: 92.47

Injury Report


(!)[F] 02/23/2015 – Kevin Durant out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F] 02/26/2015 – Steve Novak out indefinitely ( Appendix )
[C] 03/04/2015 – Steven Adams “?” Thursday vs. Chicago ( Hand )
(!)[G] 03/04/2015 – Russell Westbrook “?” for 2nd half ( Leg )


(!)[G] 02/24/2015 – Derrick Rose out for season ( Knee )
(!)[G] 03/02/2015 – Jimmy Butler out indefinitely ( Elbow )
[F] 03/02/2015 – Taj Gibson out indefinitely ( Ankle )

Free ATS Pick

Both teams are coming off a win, but the Bulls beat the struggling Wizards and the Thunder needed OT at home to beat a 76ers team that has the 2nd fewest wins in the league.

Both teams are without key players, as Kevin Durant is out for the Thunder and the Bulls are without Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler. The Thunder did give up 118 points to the 76ers, but that was because Philly drained 15 of their 35 pointers, as they only shot 35.4% from the floor. The Thunder are hot and considering they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 road games I am going with them tonight.

Take the Thunder -4

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