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NBA Prediction – L.A. Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick

The 37-21 Memphis Grizzlies host the 41-15 L.A. Clippers in a Western Conference match up on 2/27/2015 at the FexExForum

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Grizzlies -5
Over/Under Total Line: 199

In their last games the Clippers lost to the Houston Rockets 110-105 as a 3.5 point road dog failing to cover the point spread for their second consecutive game. The 215 points scored fell short of 218 line making it two under games in a row for Los Angeles.

The Grizzlies were shocked by the Sacramento Kings 102-90 losing by 12 points as a 6.5 point road favorite. The ATS loss was the first for them after getting the cover in back to back games after the All-Star break. The combined scoring of 192 points missed the total by 7 for their seventh consecutive under!

These teams met earlier this week in L.A. with the Grizzlies beating the Clippers 90-87 as a 3.5 point road underdog. Memphis absolutely owned the LA Clippers winning eight of the last ten games and rewarding their backers with point spread wins in nine of those games. I’s been a mixed bag versus the total in recent games with the games going 1-1-1 on the O/U line, but in the last ten games there is an over bias 6-3-1.

Here are some key handicapping facts.

The Clippers have lost 2 in a row and are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games facing the Clippers.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Memphis the Over record is 3-1-1.

The Grizzlies have won 3 straight overall against the Clippers including twice this season.

The Grizzlies have won 11 of their last 12 home games.

The Grizzlies have the league’s best defense, in terms of opponents’ points allowed, and the Clippers rank 2nd in the league in points per game.

This season the Grizzlies are 23-5 at home and the Clippers are 14-13 on the road.‏

SU and ATS Trends

L.A. Clippers: 37-21 SU / 24-34 ATS
Memphis Grizzlies: 41-15 SU / 28-26-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• LA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• LA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• LA has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MEM is 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
• MEM is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• MEM has an Under record of 8-0 in their last 8 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

L.A. Clippers: 95.17
Memphis Grizzlies: 95.20

Player Injuries

(!)[F] 02/08/2015 – Blake Griffin out indefinitely ( Elbow )

[G] 01/31/2015 – Vince Carter out indefinitely ( Ankle )

Free NBA Pick

The world may be on the Grizzlies here and that may be the right play, but we can get past the home team’s under run. The last three in this matchup have had combined scores of 177, 198 and 198 and we feel that there is no reason to think that this game will surpass the 200 level.

Take the Under 199

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