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NBA Prediction – Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Pick

The 23-33 Detroit Pistons host the 35-22 Cleveland Cavaliers in an Eastern Conference match up on 2/24/2015 at the Palace of Auburn Hills.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Cavaliers -6.5
Over/Under Total Line: 204
Moneyline: OFF

In their last game the Cavaliers crushed the New York Knicks 101-83 for their second straight win and sixteenth in their last eighteen games! The margin of 18 points gave the Cavs the ATS win covering bookmaker’s line of 16.5. The 184 combined points put up on the board by Cleveland and New York fell considerably under the 197 total. The under was the first after a run of 5 overs.

The Pistons beat the Washington Wizards 106-89 in their last match for their third win over their last four games for Detroit. The 17-point margin was more than enough for the home team who was getting 2 points from the visiting Wizards. The 195 total points scored in the game matched the over/under line of 195 resulting in a push for total bettors. The win by the Pistons was their sixth in 10 games a great improvement over their earlier season play.

In this match-up the underdog is trending going 6-1 versus the spread in the last seven meetings. Cleveland has won four of the last five games going 3-2 ATS over the stretch, but Detroit is 5-5 in the last 10 between these two teams and a bankroll boosting 7-3 against the betting line and an even better 10-3 ATS in the last 13 matches. This season they have split the 2 games each team winning on the road with the Pistons getting the cover in both.

Some other notes to consider

The Cavs are 10-1 in their last 11 games facing a team with a sub .500 record.

This season the Pistons are 12-18 at home and the Cavaliers are 14-13 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Cleveland Cavaliers: 35-22 SU / 27-30 ATS
Detroit Pistons: 23-33 SU / 27-29 ATS

Betting Trends

• CLE is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• CLE is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• CLE has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• DET is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• DET is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• DET has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Cleveland Cavaliers: 92.77
Detroit Pistons: 88.09

Player Injuries


[F] 02/23/2015 – Shawn Marion expected to miss Tuesday vs. Detroit ( Hip )
[C] 02/23/2015 – Kendrick Perkins “?” Tuesday vs. Detroit ( Acquired )
[C] 12/24/2014 – Anderson Varejao out for season ( Achilles )

[F] 02/23/2015 – Tayshaun Prince probable Tuesday vs. Cleveland ( Acquired )
(!)[G] 01/25/2015 – Brandon Jennings out for season ( Achilles )

Free NBA Pick

The Pistons are playing good ball with back-to-back underdog wins after the break beating Washington as a 2-point dog and Chicago as a 6-point underdog. Not exactly the bottom feeders of the Eastern Conference. They face arguably the hottest team in the league in the Cavaliers, but they held their own the last time Cleveland visited outscoring them 56-54 in the second half in an 8-point loss. The Cavs have a huge home match-up against Golden State on deck and may be guilty of overlooking Detroit in this spot. We’ll back the home dog in this spot.

Take the Detroit Pistons +6.5‏

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