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NBA Prediction –Charlotte Hornets vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick

The 25-33 Brooklyn Nets host the 25-33 Brooklyn Nets in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/4/2015 at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY; Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Nets -5.5
Over/Under Total Line: 193

The Hornets are coming off a 104-103 win over the L.A. Lakers, but at home failed to cover the 8.5-point spread. The total went well Over for that game and in 2 of their last 3 games the Over has been the winning bet. They are on the road tonight to face the Nets and in Charlotte’s last 4 road games they have covered twice and the total went Under 3 times.

The Nets and the Hornets are tied for the 8th spot in the Eastern Conference. While Charlotte is well under .500 they have been a solid bet on the road (16-10-2 ATS) as opposed to at home (11-19 ATS). Tonight they are a 5.5-point underdog on the road against the Nets, but in their last 4 games as the underdog they have only covered the spread 1 time.

While both teams have won 2 in a row the Hornets have beaten a couple of bottom-feeders in the Lakers and the Magic while the Nets have beaten some playoff-bound teams in the Warriors and the Mavericks.

The Nets are coming off a big win at home over the Golden State Warriors, who have the 2nd best record in the NBA. They won that game 110-108 and they were the 5.5-point home underdog so they covered the spread. The total went Over by 1 point and their previous 2 games had gone Under. Brooklyn has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games overall and the Golden State win was big and their first home game after a long 8-game road trip.

While the Nets were a profitable bet on their recent road trip and they won and covered the spread at home in their last game they have still only covered the spread in 3 of their last 10 home games. Overall, on the season they are 10-16 ATS at home. The total went Over for the Golden State game and the Brooklyn offense has been much better at home than on the road. You can tell this, as they have an O/U home record of 12-14 and an O/U away record of 11-21.

In the lone match up between these 2 teams this season the Nets crushed the Hornets in Charlotte 114-87. They were a 4-point underdog in that game, so they obviously covered the spread. The 201 points scored in the game was 11.5 points over the posted total. The Over record between these 2 teams in the last 6 games facing each other is 4-0-2.

Some other angles to consider:

Earlier this season in Charlotte the Nets beat the Hornets 114-87.

Both teams have won 2 in a row and the Hornets are 4-6 in their last 10 games and the Nets are 5-5 in their last 10.

The Nets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games facing the Hornets.

The Nets are 10-2 in their last 12 games facing the Hornets.

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the Over record is 4-0-2.

This season the Nets are 11-15 at home and the Hornets are 11-17 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Charlotte Hornets: 25-33 SU / 27-29-2 ATS
Brooklyn Nets: 25-33 SU / 29-29 ATS

Betting Trends

• CHA is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• CHA is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• CHA has an Under record of 14-5 in their last 19 games.
• BKL is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• BKL is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• BKL has an Over record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Sagarin Rankings


Charlotte Hornets:
87.46
Brooklyn Nets: 87.62

Injury Report

HORNETS

Bismack Biyombo C – Mar 2: Out
P.J. Hairston SG – Mar 1: Day-To-Day
Kemba Walker PG – Mar 1: Out

NETS

Mirza Teletovic PF – Mar 2: Out
Bojan Bogdanovic SG – Feb 28: Out

Free ATS Pick

The Nets have to be happy to be back at home, as 14 of their last 19 games have been on the road. They have to be confident facing the Hornets, as they not only crushed them earlier this season, but also beat an elite Golden State team in their last game.

The Hornets shot 49.4% from the floor in their win over the Lakers, but L.A. ranks dead last in the league in opponents’ points allowed. The Nets nearly shot 50% from the floor in their win over the Warriors and they held the highest scoring team in the league to a FG% of 46.7%. While the Nets have not been a great betting team at home this season they are playing much better over the last couple of weeks and they are more rested having playing the Warriors on Monday while the Hornets played the Lakers last night. Taking the better overall team that has 2 big wins in a row in the Nets tonight.

Take the Nets -5.5

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