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NBA Picks–Atlanta Hawks vs. L.A. Lakers Betting Selection

The 17-47 L.A. Lakers host the 51-14 Atlanta Hawks in a non-conference match up on 3/15/2015 at STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA; Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Hawks -8.5
Over/Under Total Line: 199

The Hawks are coming off a 96-87 road win over the Phoenix Suns where they covered the 6.5-point spread. They have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games, but they have not covered in 2 straight games in their last 8. The total for the Suns game was 19.5 points Under the 202.5 posted total. In their previous 2 games the Over was the winning bet, but in 7 of their last 10 games the total has gone Under. The Hawks are 8-2 overall in their last 10 games.

The Hawks not only have the 2nd best record in the NBA, but they have been one of the best betting teams on the season. They have been a solid wager both at home (21-13 ATS) as well as on the road (21-9-1 ATS). However, while they did cover in their last road game they are only 1-2-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. They face the Lakers, who are well below .500, and in their last 6 games facing a team with a losing record they are only 1-4-1 ATS. Atlanta has been a pretty even O/U bet on the season and on the road they have an O/U record of 15-16. In their last 5 road games the Under has been the winning bet 4 times.

In their last game the Lakers lost to the New York Knicks at home 101-94 and they failed to cover the spread as a 7-point favorite. In their previous 5 games they had covered the spread every time. The total for the Knicks game was Over, posted at 191.5, but in their 5 games before that the total has gone Under every time. After winning 3 straight at the end of February the Lakers have lost 6 of their last 7 games overall.

While the Lakers have 4th fewest wins in the league that have not been a terrible betting team at 29-31-4. They have a similar home betting record (14-16-2 ATS) than on the road (15-15-2 ATS). In their last 6 home games the have covered the spread 4 times. At home the Over has been the slightly better bet, as in L.A. they have a O/U record of 16-15-1 while on the road it is 13-18-1. In their last 6 home games the Over has been the winning wager 4 times.

Earlier this season in Atlanta the Lakers handed the Hawks a rare home loss beating them 114-109 and L.A. covered the spread as 8.5-point underdogs. The total for that game went Over the posted total 211.5.

Some other angles to consider:

The Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games facing the Hawks.

The home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 games between these 2 teams.

The Hawks are tied with the Memphis Grizzlies for the 2nd most road wins in the league (21).

This season the Lakers are 10-22 at home and the Hawks are 21-10 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Atlanta Hawks: 51-14 SU / 42-22-1 ATS
L.A. Lakers: 17-47 SU / 29-31-4 ATS

Betting Trends

• ATL is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• ATL is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• ATL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• LA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• LA is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• LA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Atlanta Hawks: 96.34
L.A. Lakers: 84.37

Injury Reports

HAWKS

[F] 03/14/2015 – Mike Scott out indefinitely ( Toe )
[G] 02/01/2015 – Thabo Sefolosha expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Calf )

LAKERS

[F] 03/09/2015 – Nick Young out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 02/24/2015 – Ronnie Price out indefinitely ( Elbow )
(!)[G] 01/22/2015 – Kobe Bryant out for season ( Shoulder )
[F] 10/28/2014 – Julius Randle out for season ( Tibia )
[G] 10/23/2014 – Steve Nash out for season ( Back )

Free NBA ATS Pick

The Hawks are 19-5 this season facing teams from the Western Conference with one of those losses coming at home against the Lakers. The Lakers are 8-0 in their last 8 home games facing the Hawks.

It was after the loss to the Lakers when the Hawks caught fire and since that loss they are 46-9 overall. Kobe Bryant went for 28 points in that game and the Lakers shot a scorching 54% from the floor. However, one of the main reasons the Hawks have the 2nd best record in the NBA is their defense, which ranks 4th in the league in opponents’ points allowed. The Lakers lost to the lowly Knicks in their last game where they allowed New York to score 101 points and shoot 46.8% from the field. That was facing a Knicks’ squad that is the 2nd lowest scoring team in the league. The Hawks will avenge their early season loss to the Lakers and win and cover in La La Land tonight.

Take the HAWKS -8.5

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