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NBA Pick Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trailblazers Betting Odds

The 47-25 Portland Trailblazers host the 38-36 Phoenix Suns in a Western Conference match up on 3/30/2015 at Moda Center, Portland, OR; Tipoff is at 10:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Blazers -7.5
Over/Under Total Line: 201

In their last game the Suns were at home and lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 109-97 and they failed to cover as a 2-point favorite. The Suns have lost 3 in a row and they have not covered in any of those games. The total for the Thunder game went Under, which was the 4th straight game for Phoenix where the Under was the winning bet. In 9 of their last 10 games for the Suns the posted total has gone Under. Overall, the Suns are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

The Suns have been a much better betting team on the road this season (19-14-2 ATS) than at home (19-20 ATS). They have only played 1 road game in their last 10 and in their last 4 road games they have covered the spread every time. On the road this season the Suns have an O/U record of 20-15 and at home they have an O/U record of 14-24-1. In their last 5 road games the posted total has gone Over 3 times including their last one.

The Blazers beat the Denver Nuggets 120-114 at home in their last game, but did not cover as the 9-point favorite. They had covered the spread in their previous 2 games and those were the only times they have covered in their last 8 games. The total for the Nuggets gave went Over, which has been the winning bet in 3 of their last 4 games. Portland has an O/U record of 8-2 in their last 10 games. Overall, the Blazers have won 3 straight and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

On the season the Blazers are 19-16-1 ATS at home and 19-17 ATS on the road. However, while they have been a decent home betting team on the season they have not covered the spread in their last 2 home games. The Under has been the winning wager for the Blazers at home this season, as they have an O/U home record of 13-22-1 while on the road they have an O/U record of 22-14. Still, in their last 2 home games the posted total has gone Over both times.

This is the 4th and final game of the season between these 2 teams and while the Suns won the first game the Blazers have won the last 2. While the Suns have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games in Portland they did not cover there in the one match up this season and in all 3 games the Blazers have covered the spread. In 2 of the 3 games this season the total has gone Under.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last games against the Blazers in Portland.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Blazers are 29-7 at home and the Suns are 17-18 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Phoenix Suns: 38-36 SU / 38-34-2 ATS
Portland Trailblazers: 47-25 SU / 36-35-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• PHO is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• PHO is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
• PHO has an Under record of 21-8 in their last 29 games.
• PORT is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• PORT is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• PORT has an Over record of 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Phoenix Suns: 90.95
Portland Trailblazers: 94.32

Injury Report

SUNS

(!)[G] 03/28/2015 – Brandon Knight “?” Sunday vs. Oklahoma City ( Knee )
[G] 03/29/2015 – Marcus Thornton expected to miss Sunday vs. Oklahoma City ( Toe )

BLAZERS

(!)[G] 03/06/2015 – Wesley Matthews out for season ( Achilles )

Free NBA Pick

The Suns loss to the Thunder in their last game was costly, as they not only blew a 20-point lead, but now they are 4 games back of Oklahoma City for the last playoff spot in the West. The Blazers have won 3 straight and they can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight.

These 2 teams played in Phoenix on March 27th and the Blazers won 87-81. While Portland did not have a great shooting night they held the Suns to 36.8% shooting. The Suns have failed to score at least 100 points in their last 4 games and they face a Portland team that has a balanced offense and scored 120 points in their last game. Not good for a Phoenix team that ranks 26th in the league in opponents’ points per game. Take the Blazers in this one at home, as they will win their 4th straight and cover the spread.

Take the BLAZERS +7.5

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