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NBA Pick–Milwaukee Bucks vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Odds

The 27-39 Chicago Bulls host the 34-34 Toronto Raptors in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/20/2015 at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY; Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Nets -3
Over/Under Total Line: 191

In their last game the Bucks were at home and lost to the San Antonio Spurs 114-103 where they failed to cover the spread as a 5.5-point underdog. They have not covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games and in their last 10 games they have an ATS record of 4-6. In the Spurs game the total went Over while the Under was the winning bet in their previous 2 games. In their last 10 games the posted total has gone Under 6 times. Overall, the Bucks have lost 4 straight and are only 2-8 in their last 10 games.

On the season the Bucks have been a much better betting team on the road (24-12 ATS) than at home (15-17 ATS). While Milwaukee has been struggling as of late losing 8 of 10 they have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 road games. The Under has been the winning bet for the Bucks both at home, where they have an O/U record of 13-19, and on the road, where they have an O/U record of 16-20. In 4 of their last 6 games on the road the posted total has gone Under including their last 2.

The Nets were blown out in their last game losing on the road 117-92 to the Cleveland Cavaliers where they did not cover even getting 12 points. That game snapped their 2-game streak of covering, but in their last 8 games they have only covered the spread 2 times. The total for the Cavaliers game went Over and the posted total has gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games including their last 2. Overall, the Nets are coming off a loss and are only 4-6 in their last 10 games.

While the Nets have been a solid road betting team on the season at 21-15 ATS they are only 10-20 ATS at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last 4 home games and in that span they were the home favorite every time. At home this season Brooklyn has an O/U record of 14-16 and in their last 5 home games the posted total has gone Over 3 times.

This is the 3rd game of the season between these 2 teams and the Bucks have won both match ups including beating them in Brooklyn in the first meeting. In both games the Bucks have covered the spread and the total has gone Over both times. In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the posted total has gone Over every time.

Some other angles to consider:

The Bucks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Nets in Brooklyn.

The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between these teams.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 4 times.

This season the Nets are 11-19 at home and the Bucks are 15-21 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Milwaukee Bucks: 34-34 SU / 39-29 ATS
Brooklyn Nets: 27-39 SU / 31-35 ATS

Betting Trends

• MIL is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games.
• MIL is 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
• MIL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• BKL is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• BKL is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• BKL has an Over record of 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Milwaukee Bucks: 90.15
Brooklyn Nets: 86.73

Injury Report

BUCKS

[F] 10/25/2014 – Damien Inglis out for season ( Foot )
[G] 03/19/2015 – Jared Dudley “?” Friday vs. Brooklyn ( Back )
[G] 03/19/2015 – O.J. Mayo “?” Friday vs. Brooklyn ( Hamstring )
[F] 12/17/2014 – Jabari Parker out for season ( Ankle )

NETS

NONE

NBA Pick

Even losing 8 of their last 10 games the Bucks are in the 6th spot in the Eastern Conference. The Nets are on the outside looking in, as they are 2.5 games out of the last playoff spot in the conference.

In their last 3 games the Bucks have faced teams with a winning record. Milwaukee has lost 9 straight road games and will face a Brooklyn team tonight that has dropped 4 straight at home. Since the beginning of January the Nets have the worst home record in the NBA (3-11). Brooklyn played poor defense in their recent loss to the Cavs where they allowed Cleveland to shoot 54.9% from the floor. That is one of the reasons I am taking the Bucks to cover, as they did put up 103 points in their last game, albeit a loss, to the Spurs, who are one of the better defensive teams in the league.

Take the BUCKS +3

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