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NBA Pick – Indiana vs. Brooklyn Betting Odds

The 32-40 Brooklyn Nets host the 32-41 Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/31/2015 at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY; Tipoff is at 7:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds


Point Spread:
Nets -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 199

In their last game the Pacers were at home and beat the Dallas Mavericks 104-99 where they covered the spread as a 2-point favorite. They did not cover the spread in their previous game and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The total for the Mavericks game went Over, which was the 5th straight Indiana game where the Over has been the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Pacers have an O/U record of 7-3. Overall, the Pacers are coming off a win and are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

The Pacers have been a better road betting team (20-14-2 ATS) than at home 18-18-1 ATS) this season. They did not cover the spread in their last game on the road and in their last 4 home games they are 2-2 ATS. Indiana has an O/U home record of 17-20 this season while on the road they have an O/U record of 23-12-1. In their last road games the posted total has gone Over and in their previous 2 the total went Under.

The Nets were at home in their last game where they beat the L.A. Lakers 107-99 with the game being a PICK. The Nets have won 3 straight games where they have an ATS record of 2-0-1. The total for the Lakers game went Over while the previous 3 Brooklyn games all went Under the posted total. In their last 10 games the Nets are 5-3-2 ATS and they have an O/U record of 6-4. Overall, the Nets have won 7 of their last 10 games.

On the season the Nets have been a much better betting team on the road (23-15 ATS) than at home (11-21-2 ATS). In their last 4 home games they have an ATS record of 1-1-2. Brooklyn has an O/U home record of 16-18 and an O/U road record of 15-23. The Under has been the winning bet in 2 of their last 3 home games, but the last game went Over.

These 2 teams have split the 2 games facing each other this season with the road team winning each time. They met in Indiana on March 21st where the Nets won and covered while earlier this season in Brooklyn the Pacers won and covered. Both games this season have gone Over, which has been the winning bet in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Nets in Brooklyn.

The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over every time.

This season the Nets are 14-20 at home and the Pacers are 13-23 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Indiana Pacers: 32-41 SU / 38-32-3 ATS
Brooklyn Nets: 32-40 SU / 34-36-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• IND is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• IND is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• IND has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• BKL is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• BKL is 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• BKL has an Over record of 15-3-1 in their last 19 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Sagarin Rankings

Indiana Pacers: 88.95
Brooklyn Nets: 87.27

Injury Report

NETS

[F] Thaddeus Young – questionable (Knee)

PACERS

[G] 03/30/2015 – Rodney Stuckey “?” Tuesday vs. Brooklyn ( Wrist )
(!)[F] 08/02/2014 – Paul George out indefinitely ( Leg )

NBA Pick

Both of these teams are chasing a playoff berth and the Nets are tied with the Boston Celtics for the 8th and final spot in the East and the Pacers are only ½ game back.

The Pacers are a solid defensive team ranking 5th in the league in opponents’ points allowed, but in the loss to the Nets a little over a week ago they allowed the Nets to shoot 61.3% from the floor.

The Pacers win with defense, but before giving up 99 to the Mavs in their last game they had given up over 100 points in 4 straight games. With their struggling defense I have to go with the Nets in this one. On top of that the Nets are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the Pacers are only 3-7 in their last 10.

Take the NETS -2.5

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