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NBA Pick Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The 35-36 Milwaukee Bucks host the 31-40 Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/26/2015 at BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bucks -1.5
Over/Under Total Line: 186.5

In their last game the Pacers were on the road and beat the Washington Wizards 103-101 and covered the spread as a 3-point underdog. In their last 2 games and in 6 of their last 7 they had failed to cover the spread. The total for the Wizards game went Over, which has been the winning bet for 3 straight for the Pacers. In their last 10 games the Pacers have only covered the spread 3 times and they have an O/U record of 6-4. Overall, the Pacers snapped their 6-game losing streak in their last game and are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

The Pacers have been a much better betting team on the road (20-13-2 ATS) than at home (17-18-1 ATS). They have covered the spread in their last 2 road games. On the season the Over bet has been the bet to place on the Pacers on the road, as they have an O/U road record of 22-12-1 and an O/U home record of 16-20. While their last road game went Over the posted total the previous 4 road games for Indiana went Under every time.

The Bucks also snapped their 6-game losing streak in their last game beating the Miami Heat at home 89-88 where they covered as the 2-point underdog. In their previous 3 games they were 0-2-1 ATS and in their last 10 games they have covered 4 times. The total for the Heat game went Over and in the previous 3 games for Milwaukee the Over was the winning wager. The Bucks are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall.

Like the Pacers the Bucks have been a better road betting team (24-12-1 ATS) than at home 16-18 ATS). They had failed to cover the spread in 4 straight home games before covering in their last game facing Miami. This season the Bucks have a home O/U record of 14-20 and a road O/U record of 17-20. The total went Over for their last game at home while it had gone Under in the previous 2 games.

After winning the first game this season against the Pacers in Indiana the Bucks have lost their last 2 facing them with the last one being at OT loss on the road. 2 games have been in Indiana and 1 in Milwaukee this season and the home team has covered the spread in each game. In the first 2 games this season between these 2 teams the posted total went Under while the last game went Over.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Bucks are 19-14 at home and the Pacers are 18-18 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Indiana Pacers: 31-40 SU / 37-31-3 ATS
Milwaukee Bucks: 35-36 SU / 40-30-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• IND is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• IND is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• IND has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• MIL is 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
• MIL is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• MIL has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Sagarin Rankings

Indiana Pacers: 88.76
Milwaukee Bucks: 89.84

Injury Reports


[G] 03/25/2015 – Rodney Stuckey doubtful Thursday vs. Milwaukee ( Calf )
(!)[F] 08/02/2014 – Paul George out indefinitely ( Leg )


[F] 10/25/2014 – Damien Inglis out for season ( Foot )
[F] 12/17/2014 – Jabari Parker out for season ( Ankle )
[G] 03/24/2015 – Jared Dudley “?” Thursday vs. Indiana ( Back )

Free NCAAB Pick

The Bucks have not won back-to-back games in 5 weeks and they needed a buzzer-beater by Khris Middleton in their last game to beat the Heat. The Pacers rank 4th in the NBA only allowing an average of 97 ppg, but in their last 6 games they have given up an average of 108.2 ppg. However, in their 3 games facing the Bucks this season they have only allowed an average of 91.3 ppg in regulation and gave up 103 in OT in their last game.

While the road team and underdog have been THE bet to make between these 2 teams in the last few games I am going to buck those trends by taking the Bucks at home in this one. Both teams got a much-needed win in their last game, but Milwaukee is at home and they will win and cover facing a Pacers’ team that is 9-games under .500 on the road this season.

Take the BUCKS -1.5

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