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NBA Pick –Houston Rockets vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Odds

The 30-39 Indiana Pacers host the 46-23 Houston Rockets in a non-conference match up on 3/23/2015 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Pacers -1
Over/Under Total Line: OFF

In their last game the Rockets lost at home to the Phoenix Suns 117-102 where they failed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point favorite. They had covered the spread in their previous 3 games. The total for the Suns game went Over, which was the 2nd straight game where the Over was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Rockets have an ATS record of 6-4 and an O/U record of 5-5. Overall, Houston is coming off a loss and are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

This season the Rockets have been a better home betting team (23-13 ATS) than on the road (17-16 ATS). They are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games on the road and covered in their last one. While the Under has been the winning bet for the Rockets at home this season (O/U 14-22) the Over bet has been the winning one on the road (O/U 18-15). However, in 3 of their last 4 road games, including their last one, the posted total has gone Under.

The Pacers are coming off their 5th straight loss overall in their last game falling 123-111 to the Brooklyn Nets at home where they did not cover the 8.5-point spread as the favorite. Not only have the Pacers lost 5 in a row, but also in that span they have only covered 1 time. The total for the Nets gave went Over while in their previous 2 games the total went Under. In their last 10 games the Pacers have an ATS record of 4-6 and an O/U record of 4-6.

The Pacers are 17-17-1 ATS at home this season and have been a better betting team on the road at 19-13-2 ATS. They have failed to cover the spread in their last 4 games at home. The Under has been the bet to make on the Pacers at home (O/U 15-20) while the Over has been the pick for them on the road (O/U 21-12-1). In their last 2 home games the posted total has gone Over both times.

This is the 2nd match up between these 2 teams this season and in the first match up in Houston the Rockets beat the Pacers 110-98. In that game the Rockets covered the 10-point spread and the posted total went Over. In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the favorite and the home team has covered the spread 4 times.

Some other angles to consider:

The Pacers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games facing the Rockets.

In the last 25 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 17 times.

The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Pacers are 18-17 at home and the Rockets are 19-13 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Houston Rockets: 46-23 SU / 40-29 ATS
Indiana Pacers: 30-39 SU / 36-30-3 ATS

Betting Trends

• HOU is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. loss.
• HOU is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• HOU has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• IND is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• IND is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• IND has an Under record of 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Houston Rockets: 93.91
Indiana Pacers: 88.89

Injury Report

ROCKETS

[F] 03/03/2015 – Kostas Papanikolaou out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 03/19/2015 – Terrence Jones out indefinitely ( Ribs )
(!)[C] 01/31/2015 – Dwight Howard out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 03/22/2015 – Josh Smith is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Indiana ( Ankle)

PACERS

[G] 03/22/2015 – Rodney Stuckey injured last game, “?” Monday vs. Houston ( Calf )
(!)[F] 08/02/2014 – Paul George out indefinitely ( Leg )

Free NBA Pick

The Pacers were hot not long ago winning 10 of their 11 games and 7 straight before recently hitting the skids with 5 straight losses. Indiana has the league’s 3rd ranked defense, in terms of opponents’ points allowed (96.8 ppg), but in their 5-game losing streak they are giving up an average of 106.2 ppg.

The Rockets are coming off a poor home effort in their 15-point home loss to the Suns, but don’t expect another lackluster game from them. In the Pacers losing streak they only faced 1 team that ranks in the top 5 in the league in scoring in the Raptors, who rank 4th, and in that game they gave up 117 points. Facing the Rockets, who rank 7th in the league in scoring, their struggling defense will be torched and the Rockets will win and cover.

Take the ROCKETS +1

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