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NBA Pick Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

The 50-22 Memphis Grizzlies host the 58-13 Golden State Warriors in a Western Conference match up on 3/27/2015 at FedExForum, Memphis, TN; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Warriors
Over/Under Total Line: 198.5

In their last game the Warriors were on the road and beat the Portland Trailblazers 122-108 and they covered the spread as a 7-point favorite. They have covered the spread in their last 5 games and in 7 of their last 10. The total for the Blazers game went Over and while the posted total has gone Over in 7 of their last 10 games the game previous to Portland went Under. Overall, the Warriors have won 7 straight games and 9 of their last 10.

On the season the Warriors have been a much better home betting team (25-10-1 ATS) than on the road (17-18 ATS). However, they have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 road games including their last one. Golden State has a home O/U record of 18-18 and a road O/U record of 16-19. In their last 2 games on the road the posted total has gone Over both times.

The Grizzlies were at home in their last game and they lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 111-89 and came nowhere near covering the spread as a 1-point underdog. In their previous 3 games the Grizzlies had covered and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. The total for the Cleveland game went Over and the winning bet for Memphis has been the Over in 4 of their last 5 games including their last 2. Overall, the Grizzlies are coming off a loss and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

This season Memphis is 16-17-2 ATS at home and 18-19 ATS on the road. They are only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home. The Under has been the wager to make on the Grizzlies at home this season where they have an O/U record of 13-21-1 while on the road they have an O/U record of 19-17-1. While in their last home game the posted total went Over their previous 3 home games all went Under.

This is the 2nd game of the season between these 2 teams and in the first match up the Grizzlies were at home and beat the Warriors 105-98. In the game Memphis covered the spread as a 3.5-point favorite and the posted total went Under.

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Some other angles to consider:

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Warriors.

This season the Grizzlies are 27-8 at home and the Warriors are 24-11 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Golden State Warriors: 58-13 SU / 42-28-1 ATS
Memphis Grizzlies: 50-22 SU / 34-36-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• GS is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• GS is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• GS has an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 games.
• MEM is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• MEM is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• MEM has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Golden State Warriors: 100.12
Philadelphia 76ers: 94.21

Injury Reports





Free NBA Pick

This game pits the Warriors, who have the highest scoring team in the league, against the Grizzlies, who have the league’s 2nd best defense in terms of opponents’ points allowed. The Grizzlies are the only team the Warriors have not beaten this season. Memphis is coming off their most lopsided home loss of the season.

While the Grizzlies have won 12 of their last 14 games facing the Warriors I am taking Golden State in this one. They are streaking winners of 7 straight and even on the road against a tough Portland team in their last game they put up 122 points and shot a scorching FG% of 60.2%. The Grizzlies win with defense, but in their loss to the Cavs they allowed Cleveland to shoot 51.2% from the floor.

Take the WARRIORS -3.5

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