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NBA Pick Detroit Pistons vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Odds

The 13-46 Philadelphia 76ers host the 28-45 Detroit Pistons in an Eastern Conference match up on 4/1/2015 at Time Warner Cable Arena in Charlotte, NC; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Hornets -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 196

In their last game the Pistons were at home and beat the Atlanta Hawks 105-95 where they covered the spread as a 2-point underdog. While they did not cover in their previous game they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The total for the Hawks game went Over, which was the 6th straight game for Detroit where the Over was the winning bet. In the Pistons last 10 games the posted total has gone Over 8 times. Overall, the Pistons have won 6 of their last 10 games.

On the season the Pistons have been a better road betting team (20-17 ATS) than at home (17-20 ATS). They did not cover in their last road game, but in their previous 2 on the road they did cover the spread. The Under has been the winning bet for the Pistons, as they have a road O/U record of 13-23-1 while at home they have an O/U record of 21-15-1. However, in their last 3 road games the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Hornets are coming off a 116-104 home loss to the Boston Celtics where they failed to cover as a 3-point favorite. They had covered the spread in their previous 2 games and in their last 10 games they are 6-4 ATS. The total for the Celtics game went Over, which was the 3rd straight game where they Over was the winning bet. While the last 3 games for Charlotte have gone Over in their previous 7 the posted total went Under 5 times. Overall, the Hornets have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Charlotte has not been a good betting team at home (14-23 ATS) while they have been on the road (21-13-2 ATS). In their last 3 home games they have only covered the spread one time. The Hornets have an O/U home record of 20-17 on the season and on the road they have an O/U record of 17-19. In their last 2 home games and in 3 of their last 4 the posted total has gone Over.

These teams have split the 2 games facing each other this season with the road team winning each time. The road team has also covered the spread in each of the games and the total has gone Under one time and Over one time.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the Hornets in Charlotte.

The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Hornets.

In the last 27 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 19 times.

This season the Hornets are 17-20 at home and the Pistons are 13-24 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Detroit Pistons: 37-22 SU / 36-37 ATS
Charlotte Hornets: 31-42 SU / 35-36-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• DET is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• DET is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• DET has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• CHA is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• CHA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• CHA has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

Detroit Pistons: 87.89
Charlotte Hornets: 87.57

Injury Reports

PISTONS

(!)[F] 03/31/2015 – Greg Monroe “?” Wednesday vs. Charlotte ( Knee )
[G] 03/31/2015 – Spencer Dinwiddie injured last game, doubtful Wednesday vs. Charlotte ( Achilles )
(!)[G] 01/25/2015 – Brandon Jennings out for season ( Achilles )

HORNETS

[F] 03/29/2015 – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[C] 03/31/2015 – Cody Zeller “?” Wednesday vs. Detroit ( Shoulder )

NBA ATS Pick

With their most recent loss the Hornets are now 2 games out of the final playoff spot in the East. The Hornets have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Pistons, but Detroit is playing well winning 6 of their last 8 games.

In facing the solid defensive team of Atlanta in their big upset win over the Hawks the Pistons shot 49.4% from the field and C Andre Drummond, who has averaged 18.5 ppg and 14.4 rpg in the last 8 games, went for 22 points and 13 boards. The Hornets do have a solid team on defense ranking 7th in the league in opponents’ points allowed, but in their last 3 games have given up an average of 110 ppg. Still, in losing 4 of 5 all of the losses came against teams in the playoff race and at home facing the Pistons they will win and cover.

Take the HORNETS -4.5

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