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NBA Pick Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds

The 45-22 Houston Rockets host the 26-42 Denver Nuggets in a Western Conference match up on 3/19/2015 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread:
Rockets -8
Over/Under Total Line: 214

In their last game the Nuggets had their 4-game winning streak snapped with a 92-81 road loss to the Memphis Grizzlies, but they did cover as a 12.5-point underdog. The Nuggets have covered the spread in their last 5 games and in 8 of their last 10. The total for the Grizzlies gave was Over while Denver’s previous 3 games went Over. In their last 10 games the Nuggets have an O/U record of 5-5. In their last 10 games overall the Nuggets are 6-4.

While the Nuggets have not been a great road betting team on the season at 15-17-1 ATS they have covered the spread in their last 4 road games. The Under has been the winning bet for Denver on the road this season, as they have an O/U road record of 12-19-2. In their last 4 road games the posted total has gone Over twice, including their last game, and Under twice.

The Rockets have won 2 straight and they have covered in those games as well. In their last game they were at home and they beat the Orlando Magic 107-94 and covered the spread as an 11-point favorite. While they have covered in their last 2 games they failed to do so in their previous 2 games. The total for the Orlando game went Under the posted total and the Under has been the winning bet for their last 2 games. In their last 10 games they have an O/U record of 6-4. Overall the Rockets are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

The Rockets have been a much better betting at home (22-12 ATS) than on the road (17-16 ATS) this season. The Orlando win as their first home game after a 4-game road trip and in their last 5 home games they have covered the spread 3 times including their last 2. The Under has definitely been the bet on Houston at home on the season, as they have an O/U home record of 12-22 and an O/U road record of 18-15. In their last 2 games at home the posted total has gone Under and in their previous 2 at home it had gone Over.

This is the 4th and final meeting between these teams tonight and the Rockets have won all 3 with the last 2 being in Denver. Not only has Houston beaten Denver in all 3 games this season, but they have covered the spread in all 3 as well. These teams met on March 7th in Denver with the Rockets winning 114-110 and covering as the 4-point favorite. The total has gone Under in 2 of the 3 games between these teams this season including the last game.

Some other angles to consider:

The Nuggets are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games against the Rockets.

The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games against he Rockets in Houston.

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 6 times.

This season the Rockets are 25-9 at home and the Nuggets are 10-23 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Denver Nuggets: 26-42 SU / 29-36-3 ATS
Houston Rockets: 45-22 SU / 39-28 ATS

Betting Trends

• DEN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• DEN is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• DEN has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• HOU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
• HOU is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games.
• HOU has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Denver Nuggets: 86.82
Houston Rockets: 94.10

Injury Report


Darrell Arthur PF – Mar 16: Out
Randy Foye SG – Mar 16: Day-To-Day
Wilson Chandler SF – Mar 16: Day-To-Day
Danilo Gallinari SF – Mar 16: Day-To-Day
Kenneth Faried PF – Mar 16: Day-To-Day
Ty Lawson PG – Mar 16: Day-To-Day


Dwight Howard C – Mar 18: Out
Jason Terry SG – Mar 18: Day-To-Day
Patrick Beverley PG – Mar 18: Day-To-Day
Kostas Papanikolaou FW – Out

NBA Pick

The Rockets are still winning with Dwight Howard out, as they are 15-8 since he went down with a knee injury. He played in the first 2 wins this season over Denver, but not in the last one and the Rockets still won by 14 points.

While the Nuggets will not be making the playoffs this season they are 6-3 since they fired head coach Brian Shaw. They had their 4-game winning streak snapped in their last game only scoring 81 points facing a Memphis Grizzlies team that has the best defense in the league. James Harden (26.7 ppg) ranks 2nd in the league in scoring and while he only had 17 points in the last win over the Magic he has torched the Nuggets this season. In the first match up he had a triple-double, in the 2nd one went for 41 points, and in the last one went for 28.

Going with the Rockets in this one, as they have had the Nuggets’ number on the season. On top of that it is not a good match up for Denver, as they rank 26th in the league in opponents’ points allowed and the Rockets rank 8th in the league in scoring.

Take the ROCKETS -8

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