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NBA Pick–Charlotte Hornets vs. L.A. Clippers Betting Prediction

The 42-25 L.A. Clippers host the 29-36 Charlotte Hornets in a non-conference match up on 3/17/2015 at STAPLES Center, Los Angeles, CA; Tipoff is at 10:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Clippers -9.5
Over/Under Total Line: 199

In their last game the Hornets suffered a bad 94-66 road loss to the Utah Jazz where they came nowhere near covering as a 4.5-point underdog. While they did cover in the previous game they have failed to do so in 3 of their last 4 games. The total for the Utah game was Under while the previous 2 Charlotte games had gone Over the posted total. In their last 10 games the Hornets are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 7-3.

While the Hornets did not cover the spread in their last road game they have been a much better betting team this season on the road (18-11-2 ATS) than at home (13-21 ATS). Before failing to cover in their last game at Utah Charlotte had covered the spread in their previous 3 road games. At home this season the Hornets have an O/U record of 18-16 and on the road they are at 15-16. In their last 4 games on the road the total has gone Under twice and Over twice.

The Clippers have lost 2 straight overall and they failed to cover the spread in either game. In their last game they were at home as a 5-point favorite and lost to the Houston Rockets 100-98. The score for the Rockets game went 15.5 points Under the posted total and in L.A.’s previous 2 games the total had gone Over. The Clippers had covered in 3 straight games before failing to do so in their last 2. In their last 10 games they are 5-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-7.

The Clippers have not been a good betting team on the season either at home (15-19 ATS) or on the road (14-19 ATS). In their last 3 home games they have only covered the spread 1 time. The Under has been the winning bet for the Clippers at home this season with an O/U record of 12-20-2 while on the road they have an O/U record of 17-15-1. In their last 4 home games the posted total has gone Under every time.

These 2 teams met earlier this season in Charlotte with the Clippers beating the Hornets 113-92. In that game the Clippers covered the spread as the 4-point favorite and the total went Over posted at 199. Before the game this season the home team had covered in the previous 4 match ups.

Some other angles to consider:

The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between these 2 teams.

The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games facing the Hornets.

This season Clippers are 24-10 at home and the Hornets are 13-18 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Charlotte Hornets: 29-36 SU / 31-32-2 ATS
L.A. Clippers: 42-25 SU / 29-38 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• CHA is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• CHA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• CHA has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• LA is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• LA is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
• LA has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

Charlotte Hornets: 88.03
L.A. Clippers: 95.12

Injury Reports

HORNETS

(!)[C] 03/16/2015 – Al Jefferson is upgraded to probable Monday vs. Utah ( Calf )
[C] 03/16/2015 – Cody Zeller is downgraded to doubtful Monday vs. Utah ( Shoulder )

CLIPPERS

[F] 03/16/2015 – Jordan Hamilton injured last game, doubtful Tuesday vs. Charlotte ( Ankle )
[G] 03/09/2015 – Jamal Crawford out indefinitely ( Calf )

Free ATS Pick

While the Hornets are a respectable 6-4 in their last 10 games they have lost 3 of their last 4 and in 2 of those games, including their last one, their offense failed to score over 70 points.

Blake Griffin is back for the Clippers after missing a few weeks due to an elbow injury. That is not good news for the Hornets, as in the game in Charlotte this season he was 1 assist away from a triple-double scoring 22 points, grabbing 16 rebounds, and dishing out 9 assists. In the loss to the Jazz in their last game the Hornets were down 85-46 and made a 20-9 run to nearly score 70 points. They face a Clippers’ team that only ranks 19th in the league in opponents’ points per game, but they do rank 2nd in the league in points per game. The Clippers will get back in the W column in this game and they will also cover the 9.5-point spread.

Take the CLIPPERS -9.5

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