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NBA Pick–Brooklyn Nets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Prediction

The 14-51 Minnesota Timberwolves host the 26-38 Brooklyn Nets in a non-conference match up on 3/16/2015 at Target Center, Minneapolis, MN; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Nets -1.5
Over/Under Total Line: 200.5

In their last game the Nets were on the road and beat the Philadelphia 76ers 94-87 and they covered the 6.5-point spread. Not only did that game snap their 5-game losing streak, but also in those 5 losses they failed to cover the spread 1 time. The total for the 76ers game went 16 points Under the posted total and for the previous 2 games for Brooklyn the Over was the winning bet. Overall, the Nets are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

The Nets have been a Jekyll and Hyde team in terms of betting, as at home they are only 10-20 ATS while on the road they are 20-14 ATS. They have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 road games including their last one. The T-Wolves have the 2nd fewest wins in the league and in their last 2 games the Nets have faced teams with a losing record. At home this season Brooklyn has an O/U record of 14-16 and on the road it is 12-22. In 3 of their last 4 games on the road the posted total went Under.

The Timberwolves are coming off a 123-97 road blowout loss to the Spurs as they were given 14 points and still failed to cover. Minnesota has lost 4 straight games overall and in that span they are 0-4 ATS. The total for the Spurs game was Over while their 3 previous games went Under twice. The T-Wolves have lost 8 of their last 9 games and in that span they have only covered the spread 3 times. In their last 10 games they have an O/U record of 4-5-1.

The T-Wolves have not been a good betting team as of late, but they have been a better home betting team (15-18 ATS) than on the road (13-18-1 ATS)> In their 4-game slide where they have failed to cover once all of those games were on the road and in their last home game they did cover. In their last 4 games at home they are 2-2 ATS. At home on the season the T-Wolves have an O/U record of 18-15 and in 2 of their last 3 home games the Over has been the winning wager. In their last 10 games facing a team with a losing record the total has gone Over 7 times.

These 2 teams met in Brooklyn in the very beginning of the season with the Timberwolves winning 98-91 where they covered as the 5-point underdog. The total for that game went Under, which is what the total has gone in the last 4 match ups between these 2 teams.

Some other angles to consider:

The Timberwolves are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games facing the Nets.

The Timberwolves are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games facing the Nets.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Minnesota the total has gone Under every time.

This season the Timberwolves are 9-23 at home and the Nets are 15-19 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Brooklyn Nets: 26-38 SU / 30-34 ATS
Minnesota Timberwolves: 14-51 SU / 28-36-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• BKL is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• BKL is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• BKL has an Under record of 21-10 in their last 31 road games.
• MINN is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• MINN is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• MINN has an Over record of 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Sagarin Rankings

Brooklyn Nets:
Minnesota Timberwolves: 82.93

Injury Reports




[F] 01/26/2015 – Robbie Hummel expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Hand )
[F] 02/21/2015 – Shabazz Muhammad out for season ( Finger )
[F] 02/22/2015 – Anthony Bennett out indefinitely ( Leg )
[C] 03/15/2015 – Nikola Pekovic “?” Monday vs. Brooklyn ( Ankle )
[G] 03/15/2015 – Ricky Rubio “?” Monday vs. Brooklyn ( Ankle )
[C] 03/15/2015 – Kevin Garnett “?” Monday vs. Brooklyn ( Knee )

Free NBA ATS Pick

Both of these teams have been struggling, but the Nets are still in the playoff hunt 3 games out of the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. The T-Wolves have lost 4 in a row, but all of those games came teams that had a winning record. In their last home game they beat the Blazers, who have the 3rd best record in the West.

Nikola Pekovic and Ricky Rubio are 2 players for the T-Wolves that are averaging in double figures and both are question marks for tonight’s game. Brooklyn has faced 4 teams with losing records in their last 6 games and they lost 3 of them. Still, facing a banged up Minnesota team that has been blown out in 3 of their last 4 games I have to go with the Nets tonight.

Take the NETS -1.5

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