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NBA Pick Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Odds

The 22-50 Orlando Magic host the 53-17 Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern Conference match up on 3/25/2015 at Amway Center, Orlando, FL; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Hawks -7.5
Over/Under Total Line: 201.5

In their last game the Hawks were at home and lost to the San Antonio Spurs 114-95 and they did not cover the spread as a 1.5-point favorite. The Hawks have lost 3 straight overall and in all of those games they did not cover the spread. The total for the Spurs game went Over, which was the 4th straight for Atlanta where they Over was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Hawks are 4-6 ATS and they have an O/U record of 6-4. Overall the Hawks are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

While the Hawks have been a solid bet to make on the road this season at 22-12-1 ATS they have failed to cover the spread in their last 2 road games. The Hawks have the same O/U record at home as on the road (18-17) and in their last 3 road games the posted total has gone Over every time. Even with their 3-game losing streak the Hawks still have the best road record in the Eastern Conference.

The Magic are coming off a bad home blowout loss to the Denver Nuggets 119-100 where they came nowhere near covering as a 1-point underdog. In Orlando’s previous 2 games they had covered the spread and in their last 10 games they are 5-5 ATS. The total for the Denver game went Over, which as the 3rd straight game for the Magic where the Over was the winning wager. In their last 7 games the posted total has gone Over 7 times. In their last 10 games the Magic are 3-7 and in their last 8 games they only have 1 win.

On the season the Magic have been a much better road betting team (23-14 ATS) than at home (14-20-1 ATS). They have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 home games, but before that they had covered in 2 straight on their floor. At home this season the Over has been the bet to make on the Magic, as they have a home O/U record of 20-15 while on the road they have an O/U record of 15-21-1. In their last 6 home games the posted total has gone Over every time.

These 2 teams have played 3 times this season with the Hawks winning 2 games and the home team winning every time. While the Hawks have taken 2 of 3 games from the Magic on the season Orlando covered the spread in each game and overall they have covered in their last 6 games facing Atlanta. In the 3 games these teams have played this season the posted total has gone Under twice.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games facing the Hawks.

The underdog is 18-6 in the last 24 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 51 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 36-15.

This season the Magic are 12-23 at home and the Hawks are 23-12 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Atlanta Hawks: 53-17 SU / 43-26-1 ATS
Orlando Magic: 22-50 SU / 37-34-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• ATL is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• ATL is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• ATL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• ORL is 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ORL is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• ORL has an Over record of 6-0 in their last 6 home games.

Sagarin Rankings

Atlanta Hawks: 95.78
Orlando Magic: 84.36

Injury Reports

HAWKS

[G] 03/24/2015 – Thabo Sefolosha is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs. Orlando ( Calf )
[F] 03/14/2015 – Mike Scott out indefinitely ( Toe )

MAGIC

[F] 03/24/2015 – Channing Frye “?” Wednesday vs. Atlanta ( Illness )
(!)[F] 03/24/2015 – Tobias Harris “?” Wednesday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
[C] 03/24/2015 – Dewayne Dedmon “?” Wednesday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
[G] 03/04/2015 – Devyn Marble out indefinitely ( Eye )
[G] 03/22/2015 – Evan Fournier out indefinitely ( Hip )

NBA Pick

The Hawks have lost 3 games for the first time all season, but all of those games came against teams with winning records. However, tonight they face a Magic team that has 50 losses for the 3rd straight season.

The Magic are banged up and missing a few starters due to injury. Both of these teams are balanced, but the Hawks have a good balance ranking 7th in scoring and 10th in opponents’ points per game while the Magic rank 25th in each category. The Magic played to the Hawks to a 1-point loss in their only match up in Orlando this season, but with the Magic shorthanded and the Hawks facing a team that was blown out at home in their last game I have to go with Atlanta to win and cover, so I am bucking the betting trends in this one.

Take the HAWKS -7.5

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