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NBA Pick –Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

The 53-14 Golden State Warriors host the 53-13 Atlanta Hawks in a non-conference match up on 3/18/2015 at ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA; Tipoff is at 10:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -6
Over/Under Total Line: 210.5

In their last game the Hawks beat the Sacramento Kings on the road 110-103 and they covered the 4.5-point spread. In their last 10 games they have not covered 2 straight with a ATS record of 4-5-1 in that span. The total for the Kings game went Over by 10 points and in Atlanta’s previous 2 games the posted total had gone Under. They have an O/U record of 4-6 in their last 10 games. Overall, the Hawks have won 3 in a row and 8 of their last 10 games.

The Hawks have played 4 straight games on the road and are 2-2 ATS. They have been similar betting at home (21-13 ATS) and on the road (22-10-1 ATS). In their last 6 games on the road they have only covered the spread 2 times, but did so in their last game. At home this season the Hawks have an O/U record of 17-17 and on the road are 16-17. While the posted total went Over in their last road game in their last 6 away from Atlanta the Under has been the winning bet 4 times.

The Warriors are coming off a 108-105 home win over the L.A. Lakers where they were not even close to covering the 18-point spread. They had covered in their previous game, but in the 2 before did not. The total for the Lakers game went Over and that has been the winning wager for the Warriors in their last 3 games. In their last 10 games Golden State has only covered the spread 3 times. They have an O/U record of 4-6 in their last 10 games. Overall, the Warriors have won 2 straight and 8 of their last 10 games.

While the Warriors did not cover in their last game, which was at home, they have been a much better home betting team (21-10-1 ATS) than on the road (16-18 ATS). In their last 4 home games they have only covered the spread 1 time. The Under has been the bet to make on Golden State on the season, as they have an O/U home record of 15-17 and an O/U road record of 15-19. However, while the total has gone Under in 4 of their last 6 home games the 2 OVERS have been in their last 2 games.

Earlier this season in Atlanta the Hawks beat the Warriors 124-116 and covered the spread as the 2-point underdog. The total for that game went Over, but in the last 4 games between these 2 teams at Golden State the Under record is 3-0-1.

Some other angles to consider:

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 5-2-1.

The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against the Hawks.

The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Warriors are 30-2 at home and the Hawks are 23-10 on the road.

SU and ATS Record

Atlanta Hawks: 53-14 SU / 42-23-1 ATS
Golden State Warriors: 53-13 SU / 37-28-1 ATS

Betting Trends

• ATL is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.
• ATL is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• ATL has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
• GS is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• GS is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• GS has an Under record of 13-5 in their last 18 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Atlanta Hawks: 96.33
Golden State Warriors: 99.31

Injury Report

HAWKS

[F] 03/14/2015 – Mike Scott out indefinitely ( Toe )
[G] 03/16/2015 – Kyle Korver out indefinitely ( Nose )
[G] 02/01/2015 – Thabo Sefolosha expected to miss 6-8 weeks ( Calf )

WARRIORS

(!)[G] 03/17/2015 – Klay Thompson is downgraded to expected to miss Wednesday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )

Free NBA Pick

With each of these teams at 53 wins the winner tonight will have the best record in the NBA. Klay Thomson ranks 2nd on the Warriors in scoring (21.9 ppg), but he is out with an ankle injury tonight. Also, Hawks All Star SG Kyle Korver is out for this game with a broken nose.

The Warriors were not impressive in their last game only beating the Lakers by 3 points at home. In the game Stephen Curry was only 5/14 from the floor for 19 points. In their last game the Hawks did force turnovers, but they allowed the Kings to shoot 46.9% from the floor. With Thomson a question mark and not playing great in their last game I have to go with the Hawks to cover, as they are 3-1 on their current road trip and have won 3 straight.

Take the HAWKS +6

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