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Navy Midshipmen vs. San Jose State Spartans – ATS Selection

Time: 8:00 PM EST Friday November 22, 2013,ESPN2

The San Jose State Spartans host the Navy Midshipmen in a non Conference match-up.

In their last games Navy had no trouble with South Alabama beating them 42-14 at home as a 7 point favorite. San Jose State got pounded 38-16 by Nevada on the road.

The Midshipmen will be looking for a little payback on Friday for last year’s shutout by San Jose State 12-0 September 29/12 at the Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. These 2 teams have only met twice with the Spartans winning both.

The Navy Midshipmen have gone Under the posted total in 7 of 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Navy has a Under record of 18-8 in their last 26 games.

The Spartans have gone Under in all 4 of their last 4 Friday night games and have a 23-8-1 Under record in their last 32 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

This season San Jose State is 2-2 at home and Navy is 1-4 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: San Jose State -2
Over/Under Total Line: 59
Moneyline: Midshipmen +110 / Spartans -130

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Navy Midshipmen: 6-4 SU 7-3 ATS
San Jose State Spartans: 5-5 SU 5-5 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• Navy is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Navy is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. MWC.
• Navy is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• SJ St. is 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• SJ St. is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• SJ St. is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Navy Midshipmen: 71.06
San Jose State Spartans: 63.05

Key Player Injuries

[RB] 11/20/2013 – Kwazel Bertrand Prob Friday (Concussion)
[FB] 11/21/2013 – Chris Swain Ques Friday (Hamstring)
[C] 11/21/2013 – Tanner Fleming Doub Friday (Concussion)
[S] 11/20/2013 – Chris Ferguson Out for the season (Concussion)
[T] 10/4/2013 – Graham Vickers Out for the season (Concussion)

San Jose State
[WR] 11/21/2013 – Jabari Carr Prob Friday (Shoulder)
[S] 11/21/2013 – Brandon Monroe Ques Friday (Ankle)
[LB] 11/3/2013 – Derek Muaava Ques Friday (Knee)
[RB] 11/3/2013 – Tyler Ervin Ques Friday (Foot)
[RB] 11/3/2013 – Alvin Jelks Ques Friday (Undisclosed)
[TE] 11/3/2013 – Max Miller Ques Friday (Undisclosed)
[DT] 11/3/2013 – Tony Popovich Ques Friday (Shoulder)
[WR] 9/19/2013 – Noel Grigsby Out indefinitely (Knee)
[LB] 8/23/2013 – Vince Buhagiar Out indefinitely (Shoulder)

Next Game
Army @ Navy
Fresno State @ San Jose State

Our Selection : The San Jose State has played well for the most part this season but they have struggled versus QB’s that can run. Case in point was last week’s game against the Wolf Pack where they could not contain QB Cody Fajardo who picked up 104 yards on 14 carries. This week they face a more dangerous runner in Navy’s QB Keenan Reynolds who leads his team in rushing with 884 yards this season and it’s not all about Reynolds. The Midshipmen are 5th in the nation with 311 yards per game on the ground and will face the Spartan’s 99th ranked run defense.
We do expected a spirited effort by San Jose State, but Navy is the superior team here. The points are a gift.
Take the Navy Midshipmen +2 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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