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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Runline Pick

Time: 8:10 PM EST Wednesday July 30, 2014

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins in n American League Central match up.

In their last games: The Twins beat the Royals 2-0 in Game 1 of this 3-game series.

In yesterday’s game the Royals’ offense was shut on and overall only had 5 hits in the game.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Twins are 8-2 in Phil Hughes’ last 10 road starts.

The Royals are 2-5 in Danny Duffy’s last 7 starts.

The Royals are 10-3 in their last 13 home games against the Twins.

Pitching Match Up
Minnesota Twins: Phil Hughes (10-7, 4.10 ERA)
Kansas City: Danny Duffy (5-10, 2.47 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Twins +130 / Royals -140
Run Line: Kansas City -1.5 +150
Total Line: 7.5 Under -120

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
Minnesota Twins: 47-57 SU / O/U 50-49 / Run Line W/L 51-53
Kansas City Royals: 53-51 SU / O/U 48-51 / Run Line W/L 59-45

Key Betting Trends
• MINN is 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• MINN is 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
• MINN has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• KC is 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
• KC is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
• KC has an Under record of 9-4 in their last 13 games.

Key Player Injuries

Phil Hughes Bruised right shin day-to-day(7/24)
Joe Mauer Right oblique strain on 15-day DL(7/2)
Ricky Nolasco Right elbow strain on 15-day DL(7/7)
Mike Pelfrey Left groin strain on 60-day DL(5/2)

Luke Hochevar Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Eric Hosmer Left game – bruised hand day-to-day(7/23)
Jason Vargas Appendectomy on 15-day DL(7/9)

Runline Pick:

Kansas City starter Danny Duffy has been razor sharp as of late with 3 quality starts in a row, giving up 2 earned runs on 13 hits over 19 and 2/3 innings. Duffy faced the Twins on June 30 pitching 5 and 2/3 frames of 4 hit ball for the 6-1 win. The Twins hurler Phil Hughes left his most recent start last Thursday in the 3rd inning due to a right shin contusion but is good to go tonight. Hughes had not faired well prior to his last, giving up 5 or more runs in 5 of 6 games, yielding 56 hit and 3 home runs in 38 innings. We don’t normally like to lay -1.5 runs to the home team but at +150 and with an edge in recent form in pitching we like Duffy and the Royals tonight.
Take Kansas City -1.5 +150 .

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