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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Washington Wizards Betting Pick

Time: 7 PM EST Saturday April 12, 2014, NBATV

Location: Verizon Center, Washington, DC

The Washington Wizards host the Milwaukee Bucks in an Eastern Conference match up.

In their last games: The Bucks beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 119-116 and the Wizards beat the Orlando Magic 96-86.

In their win over the Cavs the Bucks did not play great defense, but they had a solid night on offense shooting 52.4% from the floor.

In their win over the Magic the Wizards did not have a great shooting night, but they jumped out to a 12-point first quarter lead and forced 16 turnovers.

The Wizards have taken 2 of 3 games from the Bucks this season with the most recent being a 114-107 Washington win in Milwaukee.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the 3 games this season the road team has won every time.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over every time.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the underdog is 4-1 ATS.

The Wizards are 5-5 in their last 10 games and the Bucks are 2-8.

The Bucks only have 5 road wins all season, but one of those wins was in Washington.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Washington -10.5
Total Line: 203.5
Money Line: Bucks Off / Wizards Off

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Milwaukee Bucks: 15-64 SU 36-43 ATS
Washington Wizards: 41-38 SU 40-38-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MIL is 19-40 ATS in their last 59 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MIL is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. win.
• MIL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• WASH is 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
• WASH is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• WASH has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Milwaukee Bucks: 81.80
Washington Wizards: 90.28

Key Player Injuries

BUCKS
[G] 04/02/2014 – O.J. Mayo out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 03/27/2014 – Ersan Ilyasova out for season ( Ankle )
[C] 03/19/2014 – Larry Sanders out for season ( Suspension )
[G] 03/21/2014 – Nate Wolters out for season ( Hand )
[G] 12/27/2013 – Carlos Delfino out indefinitely ( Foot )

WIZARDS
No injuries to report at this time.

Betting Pick:

The Bucks haven’t played terrible against the Wizard losing 2 of 3 but getting the win in their only visit to Washington. Milwaukee has been playing better in their last 3 and is coming off of a win last night over Cleveland. The problem is that their last 3 games were at home and they go back on the road where they have lost 12 straight including back to back blowout losses to Chicago and Miami. Getting back to the games in this matchup note that all 3 games went over the posted total averaging 209 but keep in mind that 2 of the 3 games went to overtime. The Wizard are on a 1-11 over/under overall and 2-8 run as the host.
Take the UNDER 203.5

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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