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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Total Pick

Time: 7 PM EST Thursday June 12, 2014 FSN Wisconsin, SNY (New York)

Location: Citi Field, New York, New York

The New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Brewers beat the Mets 3-1 in Game 2 of this series yesterday.

These 2 teams have split the first 2 games of this series, which is the first match up this season.

In yesterday’s win over the Mets the Brewers pitching was solid only giving up 1 run on 5 hits.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone under 6 times.

The Mets are 4-1 in Jonathan Niese’s last 5 starts against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 11-3 in their last 14 games against the Mets in New York.

The Brewers are 9-3 in Kyle Lohse’s last 12 road starts

Pitching Match Up
Milwaukee Brewers Kyle Lohse (7-2, 3.27 ERA)
New York Mets: Jonathan Niese (3-3, 2.68 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Brewers -108 / Mets -102
Run Line: Milwaukee -1.5 +150
Total Line: 7

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
New York Mets: 39-27 SU / O/U 34-29 / Run Line W/L 33-23
Milwaukee Brewers: 29-36 SU / O/U 29-26 / Run Line W/L 39-26

Key Betting Trends
• MIL is 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• MIL is 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
• MIL has an Over record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games.
• NY is 1-7 in their last 8 overall.
• NY is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• NY has an Over record of 8-3-1 in their last 12 games.

Key Player Injuries

Tyler Thornburg RP D.L. Jun 7 elbow Out indefinitely
Jim Henderson RP D.L. May 2 shoulder Out indefinitely
Tom Gorzelanny RP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Mid-June?

Juan Lagares OF D.L. Jun 2 family Late June
Eric Young Jr. OF D.L. May 26 hamstring Early June
Dillon Gee SP D.L. May 14 shoulder Late June?
Bobby Parnell R D.L. Apr 2 elbow Out indefinitely
Matt Harvey SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow 2015

Total Pick:

Lohse 4-1 on the road on the season with his loss coming in his last start where he was blown up for 8 runs in just 5 innings. He did pitch well in his previous road outings and I expect him to rebound tonight. Mets’ starter Jon Nieve has been sharp all season and has pitched well versus the Brewers in the past. Both teams have been trending to the over, but the opposition is accounting for a large portion of the runs. I don’t think that will be the case in today’s matchup.
Take Under 7 -105

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