Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Total Pick
- Updated: July 4, 2014
Time: 7:10 PM EST Friday July 4, 2014 FSOH
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in a National League match up.
In their last games: The Brewers lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 7-4 and the Reds lost to the San Diego Padres 3-0.
The Brewers bullpen gave up a walk off HR to the Blue Jays in the 7-4 loss.
In their loss to the Padres the Cincy offense was blanked and only had 3 hits.
The Reds have won 5 of 7 games facing the Brewers this season.
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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 games facing the Reds.
The Brewers are 5-1 in Kyle Lohse’s last 6 road starts.
The Reds are 4-1 in Alfredo Simon’s last 5 home starts.
Pitching Match Up
Milwaukee: Kyle Lohse (9-2, 3.08 ERA)
Cincinnati: Alfredo Simon (10-3, 2.81 ERA)
Money Line: Brewers +101 / Reds -111
Run Line: Cincinnati -1.5 +175
Total Line: 7.5 Under -115
Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
Milwaukee Brewers: 51-35 SU / O/U 45-37 / Run Line W/L 43-43
Cincinnati Reds: 43-41 SU / O/U 38-43 / Run Line W/L 44-30
Key Betting Trends
• MIL is 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
• MIL is 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss.
• MIL has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games.
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
• CINCY is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• CINCY has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Key Player Injuries
Khris Davis OF Out Jul 1 shoulder Day-to-day
Tyler Thornburg RP D.L. Jun 7 elbow Out indefinitely
Jim Henderson RP D.L. May 2 shoulder Out indefinitely
Sean Marshall RP D.L. Jun 14 shoulder 2015
Trevor Bell RP D.L. Apr 8 elbow Out indefinitely
Jack Hannahan 3B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Cincinnati starter Alfredo Simon has been razor sharp this season with 16 quality starts in 18 appearances. The Reds have won 6 in a row when Simons take the mound and are 4-1 in his last 5 starts at home. Simons faced Milwaukee back on May 4 of this year going 7 innings giving up 5 hits and 3 earned runs. The Brewers counter with Kyle Lohse who has also has had a solid season to date with a 9-2 record and 3.08 ERA. Lohse has pitched 5 consecutive QS against the Reds dating back to 2013, only giving up 8 earned runs in 35 innings in those 5 outings. Both of these clubs are on a 3 game winless streak. I feel with the two quality hurlers on the mound tonight that runs will be tough to come by, so I’ll make a play on the total here. Take the Under 7.5.