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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Total Prediction

Time: 7:10 PM EST Monday May 19, 2014 FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee), SportSouth (Atlanta)

Location: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia

The Atlanta Braves host the Milwaukee Brewers in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Braves beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-5 and the Brewers lost to the Chicago Cubs 4-2.

In their win over the Cardinals the Braves scored 2 runs in the 9th inning to cap the comeback and avoid the sweep.

In their loss to the Cubs the Brewers’ offense was stymied only scoring 2 runs on 3 hits.

The Braves have taken 2 of 3 games from the Brewers this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under every time.

The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games against the Braves in Atlanta.

The Brewers are Brewers are 7-3 in Wily Peralta’s last 10 starts.

The Braves are 1-4 in Mike Minor’s last 5 home starts.

Pitching Match Up
Milwaukee Brewers: Wily Peralta (4-2, 2.05 ERA)
Atlanta Braves: Mike Minor (1-2, 4.24 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Brewers +118 / Braves -128
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +170
Total Line: 7 Under (-120)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Milwaukee Brewers 27-17 SU / O/U 19-24 / Run Line W/L 22-22
Atlanta Braves: 23-19 SU / O/U 15-25 / Run Line W/L 19-23

Key Betting Trends
• MIL is 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
• MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• MIL has an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
• ATL is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• ATL is 80-36 in their last 116 home games.
• ATL has an Under record of 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games.

Key Player Injuries

BREWERS
Carlos Gomez OF Out May 15 illness Day-to-day
Aramis Ramirez 3B D.L. May 13 hamstring Late May?
Jim Henderson R D.L. May 2 shoulder Late May?
Tom Gorzelanny R D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Late May?

BRAVES
Tyler Pastornicky 2B Out May 18 calf Day-to-day
Jordan Walden RP D.L. May 10 hamstring Late-May
Brandon Beachy SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow 2015
Kris Medlen SP D.L. Mar 28 arm 2015
Cory Gearrin R D.L. Mar 25 elbow 2015
Jonny Venters R D.L. Mar 23 elbow Out indefinitely

Total Prediction:

The Brewers can’t hit anyone recently and the numbers go down against left handers. Atlanta starter coming off of his best outing of the season pitching 6 2/3 shutout innings versus San Francisco. The Braves offense struggle to put runs on the board against any type of pitching with a MLB’s worst 3.21 runs per game and an even lower 2.87 versus LH pitching. Milwaukee starter Will Peralta has 7 straight QS on the season and has owned Atlanta pitching a combined 12 innings of 1 run ball in two starts. Take Under 7 -120.

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