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Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans ATS Prediction

Time: 7:00 PM EST Saturday January 25, 2014, ESPN

Location: Jack Breslin Student Events Center – East Lansing, Michigan

The Michigan State Spartans host the Michigan Wolverines in a Big 10 conference match up.

In their last games::
Michigan(25) the 4 point home court favorite pushed their winning streak to 8 when beating (7)Iowa 75-67. Wolverine’s sophomore Nik Stauskas scored 26 points for his ninth 20 point game this season. The Buckeyes Melsahn Basabe had 17 points a season’s best but in the end Iowa’s 20% from 3 point land and 14 turnovers was a big reason why their 4 game winning streak came to a end.

The Michigan State Spartans(3) were a 13.5 point home favorite and found themselves down by a point at the half last week to big 10 rival Indiana. Spartan’s Gary Harris scored 20 of his 24 points in the second half on their way to a 71-66 win over the Hoosiers pushing their winning streak to 11.

In their last meeting on March 13, 2013 the Wolverines were a 5 point favorite at home and were able to hold off their State rivals 58-57. Michigan State has won 6 of their last 10 against Michigan which includes a 75-52 win at home last February.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

This season the Michigan State Spartans are 6-0 at home and Michigan is 3-2 on the road.

Michigan has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when facing a Big Ten opponent.

These 2 teams have an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 meetings and they’ve also gone under the last 4 times in a row at Michigan State.

The Home team has covered the number in 4 of their last 5 meetings.

Michigan State is 5-2 against the spread in last 7 games at home against the Wolverines.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Michigan State -5
Over/Under Total Line: 137

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Michigan Wolverines: 14-4 SU / 9-6-1 ATS
Michigan State Spartans:18-1 SU / 10-6-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MICH is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• MICH is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• MICH has an OVER record of 16-6-1 in their last 23 road games.
• MICH ST is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
• MICH ST is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• MICH ST has an UNDER record of 9-3 in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Michigan Wolverines: 89.76
Michigan State Spartans: 92.46
Key Player Injuries

[F] 01/8/2014 – Mitch McGary Out indefinitely (Back)

[C] 01/24/2014 – Adreian Payne Doub Saturday (Foot)
[G] 01/23/2014 – Branden Dawson Late Feb (Hand)

Point Spread Pick

The Wolverines didn’t fare well in their last two visits to the Breslin Center but those were played in 2013 and 2012. Michigan has not only been ultra-competitive in the Big Ten this season they’ve won all 6 games. They do have 4 losses overall which included losses to No. 1 Arizona, No. 16 Iowa State and No. 18 Duke. Sure the Spartans resume is super solid with only 1 loss on the season, but the linesmakers have this line high enough to justify a play on what should be a very loose Michigan team.
Take the Michigan Wolverines +5 at and Lay -105 instead of -110 on this game!

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