Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction and Betting Odds
- Updated: May 30, 2015
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction and Betting Odds. The 19-30 Miami Marlins are set to take on the 27-22 New York Mets at Citi Field, New York, New York today May 30, 2015, first pitch is scheduled 4:10 PM
Moneylines: Marlins +120 / Mets -130
O/U: 6.5 runs
Pitching Match Up
Miami: Tom Koehler (3-3, 3.44 ERA)
New York: Jonathan Niese (3-5, 4.08 ERA)
In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3 game series yesterday the Marlins beat the Mets 4-3.
The Marlins go into New York in the 2nd game of a 3 game series. The 3-3 Tom Koehler goes for the Marlins and the 3-5 Jonathan Niese goes for the Mets. The Mets open at -130 with a line sitting at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have lost 7 of their last 10 games and they are looking to get back-to-back wins for the first time in more than a month tonight in the Big Apple. They are in 4th place in the NL East 9.5 games back of the Washington Nationals and rank 25th in the Majors in runs and 18th in team ERA. The Mets have also been struggling losers of 6 of their last 10 games and in that span they fell out of first place in the division now 1.5 games back of the Nationals. They have the 2nd best home record in baseball and while their offense only ranks 24th in runs scored their team ERA ranks 4th.
Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
In the last 18 games between these 2 teams the Over record is 14-3-1.
The Mets are 13-6 in the last 19 games against the Marlins.
The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Marlins.
This season the Mets are 20-7 at home and the Marlins are 9-15 on the road.
STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS
Miami Marlins: 19-30 SU / O/U 26-21 / Run Line W/L 19-30
New York Mets: 27-22 SU / O/U 24-21 / Run Line W/L 25-24
• MIA is 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
• MIA is 3-11 in their last 14 overall.
• MIA has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• NY is 22-7 in their last 29 home games.
• NY is 38-13 in their last 51 games as a home favorite.
• NY has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
[P] 04/06/2015 – Jose Fernandez 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/23/2015 – Mat Latos 15-day DL (5/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/18/2015 – Jarred Cosart 15-day DL (5/14) ( Vertigo )
[1B] 05/26/2015 – Michael Morse 15-day DL (5/24) ( Finger )
[P] 04/08/2015 – Aaron Crow 60-day DL (3/29) out for season ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/14/2015 – Don Kelly 15-day DL (4/13) ( Finger )
[C] 04/14/2015 – Jeff Mathis 15-day DL (4/13) ( Hand )
[P] 04/04/2015 – Victor Black 15-day DL (3/27) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/06/2015 – Bobby Parnell 15-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/01/2015 – Rafael Montero 15-day DL (4/29) ( Rotator Cuff )
[C] 04/21/2015 – Travis d’Arnaud 15-day DL (4/20) ( Hand )
[3B] 04/16/2015 – David Wright 15-day DL (4/15) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/08/2015 – Jenrry Mejia expected to miss 80 games ( Suspension )
[P] 04/06/2015 – Joshua Edgin 60-day DL (3/27), out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 04/06/2015 – Zack Wheeler 60-day DL (3/27), out for season ( Elbow )
[2B] 05/16/2015 – Dilson Herrera 15-day DL (5/15) ( Finger )
[P] 05/14/2015 – Buddy Carlyle 15-day DL (5/12) ( Back )
Free MLB Pick
Tom Koehler has already faced the Mets in New York this season and it was a start he would like to forget going only 3 innings and giving up 7 earned runs in a 7-6 loss. In 5 starts against the Mets in in New York he is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.46, but he is 1-0 in his last 3 starts and in his last outing he only gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings in a 5-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles. The Marlins are 1-6 in Koehler’s last 7 starts as a road underdog and 1-4 in their last 5 with him on the mound facing a team with a winning record. In his first 6 starts of the season Jonathon Niese was 3-2 with an ERA of 1.95, but in his last 3 starts he is 0-3 with an ERA of 9.00. In his last outing he gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings in a 9-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games facing Miami with Niese on the mound.
I think the Mets will rebound from yesterday’s loss with a win today. Niese will not be the difference and may not get the decision, but the New York bats will get to Koehler and they will get the W and even this series at a game apiece.