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Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards Over Under Total Pick

Time: 7 PM EST Monday April 14, 2014, CSNB

Location: Verizon Center, Washington, DC

The Washington Wizards host the Miami Heat in an Eastern Conference match up.

In their last games: The Wizards beat the Milwaukee Bucks 104-91 and the Heat lost to the Miami Heat 98-85.

In their win over the Bucks the Wizards did not play great defense, but they shot 47.6% from the floor and forced 20 turnovers.

In their loss to the Hawks Miami shot a solid FG%, but they turned the ball over 20 times and only hit 6 of their 25 3-pointers.

The Heat have taken 2 of 3 games from the Wizards this season with the last one being a 99-90 win in Miami.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the home teams is 6-2 ATS.

In the last 10 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 7 times.

Miami has lost 8 of their last 11 road games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Miami -5
Total Line: 191.5
Money Line: Heat Off / Wizards Off

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Miami Heat: 54-26 SU 37-41-2 ATS
Washington Wizards: 42-38 SU 41-38-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MIA is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• MIA is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• MIA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• WASH is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• WASH is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• WASH has an Under record of 10-1 in their last 11 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Miami Heat: 94.68
Washington Wizards: 90.35

Key Player Injuries

Greg Oden C Sidelined Mar 28 back Out

Nene Hilario F/C Sidelined Apr 11 undisclosed Day-to-day

Over/Under Total Pick:

Technically both of these teams have something to play for so we may see some effort on defense. The Wizards are playing good defense allowing only one opponent to reach 100 points in their last 10 games which has helped their last 5 games to stay under the total line. The Heat hasn’t been playing their best D of the season and that is reflected in their 2-4 straight up record in recent games. They need to ramp up the defense to be able to have any kind of playoff run and I believe that starts tonight in Washington.
Take the UNDER 191.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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