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Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Over Under Pick

Time: 10:30 PM EST Wednesday February 12, 2014, NBATV

Location: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

The Golden State Warriors host the Miami Heat in a non-conference match up.

In their last games: The Heat beat the Phoenix Suns 103-97 and the Warriors beat the Philadelphia 76ers 123-80.

In their win over the Suns LeBron James had a big game going for 37 points and 9 rebounds and Miami outscored Phoenix by 9 points in the 4th quarter.

In their blowout win over the 76ers the Warriors had 4 of 5 starters scored in double figures and they held Philadelphia to only 36.7% shooting.

Earlier this season at Miami the Warriors beat the Heat 123-114.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Heat.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams at Golden State the total has gone Over 5 times.

The Heat are 7-3 in their last 10 games and the Warriors are 5-5.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Golden State -1
Total Line: 203.5
Money Line: Heat Off / Warriors Off

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Miami Heat: 36-14 SU 22-28 ATS
Golden State Warriors: 31-21 SU 23-27-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MIA is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• MIA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MIA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• GS is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• GS is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
• GS has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Miami Heat: 95.04
Golden State Warriors: 94.56

Key Player Injuries

HEAT
[G] 02/11/2014 – Dwyane Wade Questionable Wednesday vs. Golden State ( Migraine )

WARRIORS
[C] 02/11/2014 – Jermaine O’Neal expected to miss Wednesday vs. Miami ( Wrist )
[C] 02/11/2014 – Andrew Bogut expected to miss Wednesday vs. Miami ( Shoulder )
[C] 11/02/2013 – Festus Ezeli out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 01/25/2014 – Nemanja Nedovic out indefinitely ( Hamstring )

Over/Under Total Pick:

The Heat needed to go all out in the 4th to get the victory against the Suns last night. That has to take something out of team and we feel that the required energy to play top flight defense may be missing tonight. These two did meet in January with both offenses firing on all cylinders in a 123 -114 Warriors victory. In recent play Miami has tallied 100 or greater points in 4 of their last 5 and 7 of their last 9 while Golden State has gone over the century mark in 3 straight. On the season the Heat are averaging 101.4 on the road while the Warriors have averaged 104.4 on home court.
Take the OVER 203.5.
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