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Miami Dolphins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds – Total Selection

strong>Time: 8:40 PM EST Monday November 11, 2013, ESPN

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Miami Dolphins in a non conference match up.

In their last games the Tampa Bay blew a 21 point lead and lost in overtime 27-24 to the Seattle Seahawks on the road to remain win-less on the season.

Miami needed a late field goal to send the game to overtime, were the Dolphins got a sack in the end zone to end the game on a safety, winning 22-20 at home over Cincinnati, snapping the Bengals 4 game winning streak.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Miami.

This season Tampa Bay is 0-4 at home and Miami is 2-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Miami -1.5
Over/Under Total Line: 41

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Miami Dolphins: 4-4 SU 4-4 ATS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-8 SU 2-6 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MIA is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• MIA is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• MIA has gone Under the posted total in 20 of their last 28 road games.
• TB is 10-28-1 ATS in their last 39 home games.
• TB is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• TB has gone Under the posted total in 5 of their last 7 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Miami Dolphins: 20.16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14.08

Key Player Injuries

Miami
[TE] 11/5/2013 – Dion Sims Ques Monday (Toe)
[CB] 11/5/2013 – Nolan Carroll Jr. Ques Monday (Concussion)
[G] 11/4/2013 – Richie Incognito Out indefinitely (Suspension)
[T] 11/3/2013 – Jonathan Martin Out indefinitely (Illness)
[WR] 11/3/2013 – Brandon Gibson I-R (Knee)

Tampa Bay
[S] 11/9/2013 – Dashon Goldson Prob Monday (Knee)
[WR] 11/10/2013 – Chris Owusu Doub Monday (Foot)
[G] 10/15/2013 – Carl Nicks Out indefinitely (Foot)
[K] 9/2/2013 – Lawrence Tynes Out indefinitely (Infection)
[RB] 11/8/2013 – Doug Martin I-R (Shoulder)
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Mike Williams I-R (Hamstring)
[CB] 10/15/2013 – Rashaan Melvin I-R (Hamstring)
[K] 10/7/2013 – Connor Barth I-R (Achilles)
[TE] 10/2/2013 – Nate Byham I-R (Knee)
[TE] 9/29/2013 – Luke Stocker I-R (Hip)
[LB] 9/9/2013 – Jacob Cutrera I-R (Ankle)

Next Game
San Diego @ Miami
Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Our Selection : It’s difficult to get a feel for the mindset of either team here and we believe that will be the key to this game.
The Bucs exploded for 205 yards on the ground versus the Seahawks and may have success Monday night vs. the Dolphins run defense that has allowed 315 yards on the ground in their last 2 games. Likewise for the Dolphins’ running game which has looked strong in recent games and will face the Bucs’ run D that has allowed 327 rushing yards in their last two contests.
That being said, both teams did benefit from turnovers to get into the 20 point range. We do know that both QB’s can be turnover prone and that unless this game starts getting out of reach for a team the play calling should be very conservative.
Take the UNDER 41 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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