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Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos Point Spread Pick

Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday November 23, 2014, CBS

After a disappointing road loss last weekend to the Rams Denver is hoping to bounce back in their home game against the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. The Broncos opened as 7.5 point home favorites with the total line at 49 at most online bookmakers. The Dolphins have had a few extra days off after their victory over the Buffalo Bills last Thursday. Miami’s defense limited the Bills to just 3 field goals and ranks second in the NFL in total defense, giving up 302.5 yards per game and are 4th in points allowed surrendering an average of only 18 points per game. With Miami playing solid football on the defensive side of the ball they could very well provide a tough challenge for the Denver offense. To the Broncos credit they seldom play two bad games in a row and historically respond in a big way not only winning but also covering the spread. The Denver running game isn’t performing at the level it should and inuries in the backfield are piling up, so Peyton Manning may have to depend on his million dollar arm to get this one done.

In their last games the Dolphins beat the Buffalo Bills 22-9 and the Broncos lost to the St. Louis Rams 22-7.

This season the Broncos are 5-0 at home and the Dolphins are 3-2 on the road.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Broncos -8
Over/Under Total Line: 49
Moneyline: Dolphins +290 / Broncos -350

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Miami Dolphins: 6-4 SU 6-4 ATS
Denver Broncos: 7-3 SU 5-5 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• MIA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• MIA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Broncos in Denver.
• MIA has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• DEN is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• DEN is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• DEN has an Over record of 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Miami Dolphins: 25.31
Denver Broncos: 27.25

Key Player Injuries

DOLPHINS
[G] 11/18/2014 – Daryn Colledge “?” Sunday vs. Denver ( Back )
[CB] 11/18/2014 – Cortland Finnegan “?” Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[CB] 11/14/2014 – Will Davis IR ( Knee )
[T] 11/10/2014 – Branden Albert IR ( Knee )
[DT] 09/04/2014 – A.J. Francis IR ( Knee )
[TE] 09/04/2014 – Arthur Lynch IR ( Back )
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Mike Gillislee IR ( Hamstring )
[LB] 09/08/2014 – Dannell Ellerbe IR ( Hip )
[RB] 10/14/2014 – Knowshon Moreno IR ( ACL )

BRONCOS
[DE] 09/23/2014 – Kenny Anunike IR ( Elbow )
[LB] 10/13/2014 – Danny Trevathan IR – designated return ( Knee )
[WR] 09/04/2014 – Jordan Norwood IR ( Knee )
[RB] 11/10/2014 – Ronnie Hillman expected to miss 2 weeks ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/13/2014 – Nate Irving IR ( Knee )
(!)[TE] 11/16/2014 – Julius Thomas injured last game, “?” Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/17/2014 – Montee Ball expected to miss 2-3 weeks ( Groin )
[TE] 11/16/2014 – Virgil Green “?” Sunday vs. Miami ( Calf )
(!)[WR] 11/17/2014 – Emmanuel Sanders “?” Sunday vs. Miami ( Concussion )

Next Game
Dolphins @ Jets
Broncos @ Chiefs

Free Point Spread Pick

The best play here might be on the total, but we believe that the Dolphins defense even with the injuries in the secondary can slow down the Broncos offense. This game has a 3-point margin written all over it.

Take the Miami Dolphins +7‏

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