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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction and Betting Pick

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction and Betting Pick. The 73-17 Golden State Warriors host the 61-30 Memphis Grizzlies in a Game 5 of a Western Conference semifinals series on 5/12/2015 at ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA, Tipoff is at 10:30 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -9.5
Over/Under Total Line: 195.5

The Grizzlies were at home in Game 5 and lost to the Warriors 101-84 and did not cover as a 3.5-point underdog. The Grizzlies had covered the spread in the previous 2 games in the series. The total for Game 4 went Under, which has been the winning bet for every game in this series. In their last 10 games the Grizzlies are 6-3-1 ATS and they have an O/U record of 2-8.

On the season the Grizzlies are 23-20-2 ATS at home and 22-23 ATS on the road. The Grizzlies covered in their last game on the road, but did not do so in their previous 2. Memphis has an O/U home record of 14-31-1 and an O/U road record of 22-22-1 on the road. In their last 3 road games the total has gone Under every time.

The Warriors evened the series at 2-2 in their Game 4 win at Memphis where they covered after failing to do so in their previous 2 games. The total has gone Under in every game in this series and that has been the winning bet for Golden State’s last 5 games. In their last 10 games the Warriors are 3-7 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-6-1.

On the season the Warriors are 27-171 ATS at home and 23-22 ATS on the road. Golden State has covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 road games including their last one. The Warriors have an O/U home record of 22-22-1 and an O/U road record of 18-27. In their last 3 home games the Under has been the winning bet every time.

The Warriors won and covered in Games 1 and 4 and the Grizzlies did so in Games 2 and 3. In the regular season the Warriors took 2 of 3 games from the Grizzlies, but Memphis covered the spread in 2 of the games. In the 7 games these 2 teams have faced each other this season, including in all 4 games in this series, the Under has been the winning pick.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Grizzlies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against the Warriors at Golden State.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under every time.

The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

This season the Warriors are 42-3 at home and the Grizzlies are 26-19 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Memphis Grizzlies: 61-30 SU / 45-43-3 ATS
Golden State Warriors: 73-17 SU / 50-39-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• MEM is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
• MEM is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• MEM has an Under record of 37-13-1 in their last 51 overall.
• GS is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• GS is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• GS has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings
Memphis Grizzlies: 95.00
Golden State Warriors: 99.85

Injury Report

GRIZZLIES
NONE

WARRIORS
[C] 05/03/2015 – Ognjen Kuzmic out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 05/11/2015 – Marreese Speights expected to miss rest of series vs. Memphis ( Calf )

Free NBA Pick

The Warriors tied this series at 2-2 in their Game 4 win at Memphis where they broke out of their shooting slump scoring 101 points and shooting 47.5% from the floor. In that game the Grizzlies were cold only shooting 37.5% from the field. The last time these 2 teams met at Golden State the Warriors won and handed the Warriors only their 3rd home loss of the season. Marc Gasol and Mike Conley really struggled in Game 4 and while they combined for 29 points they were 11/34 from the floor. Gasol and Randolph need to have solid games tonight and the Grizzlies have to get back to playing solid defense, as they are not a high scoring team that can keep up with the Warriors’ offense.

The Warriors will win this game at home, but the Grizzlies will play better on the defensive side of the floor than they did in Game 4. Because of that they will cover the 9.5-point spread.

Take the GRIZZLIES +9.5

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