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Louisville Cardinals vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting

No. 9 Louisville Cardinals vs. No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers

Time: 7 PM EST Saturday February 7, 2015, ESPN / WatchESPN

Location: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, Virginia

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Virginia -7.5
Total Line: OFF

The Virginia Cavaliers host the Louisville Cardinals in an ACC match up.

In their last games: Louisville beat Miami 63-55 and Virginia beat North Carolina 75-64.

This is the first game between these 2 top 10 teams this season and they face each other again at Louisville in the season finale.

Virginia has the nation’s top defense only allowing an average of 50.8 ppg and Louisville ranks 20th on that end of the floor.

Virginia’s only loss this season came at home facing Duke on January 31st.

All 3 of Louisville’s losses on the season have come against top 25 teams.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Louisville covered the spread in their last win over Miami, but they have only covered in 1 of their last 5 games after an ATS win.

Louisville is 5-1 on the road this season and Virginia is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games facing a team with a winning road record.

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Louisville Cardinals: 19-3 SU 7-12-2 ATS
Virginia Cavaliers: 20-1 SU 13-6 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• LV is 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
• LV is 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
• LV has an Over record of 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
• UVA is 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.
• UVA is 27-7-2 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UVA has an Under record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings

Louisville Cardinals: 90.54
Virginia Cavaliers: 96.91

Key Player Injuries

[F] 12/19/2014 – Akoy Agau has left team ( Personal )


Free Pick

Both teams have lost to Duke and while the Cardinals have lost two more games than the Cavaliers it’s not like they have lost to poor competition. A one point loss on the road to No. 12 ranked North Carolina and an eight point loss at home in their first match after the holidays against No. 1 ranked Kentucky is nothing to be ashamed about. Louisville hasn’t been a bettor’s best friend this season with a 7-12-2 mark against the betting line, but they are plus money on the road and that’s where my money is going to land on this game.

Take the Louisville Cardinals +8‏

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