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Little Caesars Bowl Point Spread Pick: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green

Time: 6 PM EST Thursday December 26, 2013, ESPN

The Pittsburgh Panthers face the Bowling Green Falcons in the Little Caesar’s Bowl.

In their last games of the season Bowling Green beat Northern Illinois 47-27 and Pittsburgh lost to Miami 41-31.

Bowling Green won their last 5 games on the season.

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Pitt played a much tougher schedule this season being in the ACC and they were 1-2 facing teams ranked in the top 25.

Pitt Pitt DT Aaron Donald ranked 13th in sacks (10) and 1st in tackles for a loss (2.2 per game) which lead to a slew of awards. Donald won the Nagurski Trophy, Lombardi Award, Outland Trophy and Bednarik Award and was named the ACC Defensive Player of the Year.

Bowling Green has a balanced offense and the nation’s 5th ranked defense that only allowed an average of 14.8 ppg.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bowling Green -5
Over/Under Total Line: 50.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +178 / Bowling Green -215

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Pittsburgh Panthers: 6-6 SU 5-7 ATS
Bowling Green Falcons: 10-3 SU 10-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends

  • PITT is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss.
  • PITT is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
  • PITT has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.
  • BG is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
  • BG is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • BG has an Under record of 21-7 in their last 28 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Pittsburgh Panthers: 72.11
Bowling Green Falcons: 79.56

Key Player Injuries

BOWLING GREEN

[DB] 12/21/2013 – Justin Ford Ques Thursday (Concussion)
[RB] 12/21/2013 – Jamel Martin Ques Thursday (Undisclosed)
[RB] 12/21/2013 – Fred Coppet Ques Thursday (Concussion)
[LB] 12/11/2013 – Gabe Martin out for season (Knee)
[WR] 12/11/2013 – Jared Cohen out indefinitely (Leg)
[WR] 12/11/2013 – Chris Gallon out for season (Knee)

PITTSBURGH

[DB] 12/21/2013 – Brendon Felder Ques Thursday (Foot)
[OL] 12/21/2013 – Cory King Ques Thursday (Back)
[WR] 12/21/2013 – Devin Street Ques Thursday (Elbow)
[OL] 12/21/2013 – Adam Bisnowaty Ques Thursday (Back)
[TE] 12/21/2013 – Scott Orndoff Ques Thursday (Leg)
[LB] 12/21/2013 – Ejuan Price Ques Thursday (Back)
[DB] 12/21/2013 – Cullen Christian Ques Thursday (Foot)
[DL] 12/11/2013 – Khaynin Mosley-Smith out for season (Suspension)
[DL] 09/26/13 – Devin Cook out for season (Knee)

Point Spread Pick

The Panthers are a bit erratic, but keep in mind they did beat Notre Dame and had a schedule laden with Bowl teams. This is a step up for the Falcons and we expect to see a spirited effort and possible straight up win by Pittsburgh.
Take the Pittsburgh Panthers +5 at and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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