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L.A. Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Total Pick

Time: 8 PM EST Thursday March 27, 2014, FSWI

Location: BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Bucks host the L.A. Lakers in a non-conference match up.

In their last games: The Lakers beat the New York Knicks 127-96 and the Bucks lost to the L.A. Clippers 106-98.

In the win over the Knicks the Lakers broke a franchise record scoring 51 points in the 3rd quarter and for the game L.A. shot 57.8% from the field.

In their loss to the Clippers the Bucks shot the ball well, but did not play great defense with L.A. shooting a FG% of 48.7%.

Earlier this season in L.A. the Bucks beat the Lakers 94-79.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Bucks have lost 8 straight games.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Milwaukee the total has gone Over every time.

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Lakers.

The Lakers’ offense has been playing well averaging 111.5 ppg in their last 4 games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Milwaukee -1.5
Total Line: 217
Money Line: Lakers +105/ Bucks -125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
L.A. Lakers: 24-46 SU 36-33-1 ATS
Milwaukee Bucks: 13-58 SU 32-39 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• LA is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• LA is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• LA has an Over record of 12-4 in their last 16 road games.
• MIL is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• MIL is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
• MIL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
L.A. Lakers: 84.99
Milwaukee Bucks: 81.45

Key Player Injuries

[G] 03/12/2014 – Kobe Bryant out for season ( Knee )
[G] 03/18/2014 – Jordan Farmar out indefinitely ( Groin )
[F] 03/26/2014 – Pau Gasol expected to miss next two games ( Vertigo )
[G] 03/26/2014 – Steve Nash expected to miss Thursday vs. Milwaukee ( Back )

[C] 03/19/2014 – Larry Sanders out for season ( Eye )
[G] 03/21/2014 – Nate Wolters out for season ( Hand )
[G] 12/27/2013 – Carlos Delfino out indefinitely ( Foot )

Free Total Pick:

Both teams have been lighting it up with the Lakers scoring in triple digits in 4 straight and the Bucks in 3 of their last 4. That may be the reason why the sportsbooks have the total for this game floating around the 217 mark. We find the number on the high side. Seasonal numbers put this game in the 205 and we believe that recent scoring especially by Milwaukee is based more on the opponents they faced. Take the UNDER 217.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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