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L.A. Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Total Prediction

Time: 7:05 PM EST Friday May 23, 2014

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Phillies host the L.A. Dodgers in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Dodgers lost to the New York Mets 5-3 and the Phillies lost to the Miami Marlins 4-3.

In their loss to the Mets yesterday the Dodgers only managed 3 runs and 5 hits and L.A. starter Zach Greinke had his streak of 21 starts giving up 2 or fewer runs end.

In the loss to Miami the Phillies came back to tie the game with 3 runs in the 8th inning, but gave up a run in the 9th on a bases loaded 2 out single.

This season the Phillies have won 3 of 4 against the Dodgers.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the Phillies in Philadelphia.

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 5-2-1.

The Dodgers are 13-6 in Clayton Kershaw’s last 19 road starts.

In his last start Kershaw was shelled and did not last past the 2nd inning giving up 7 earned runs.

Last season these 2 teams split their six meetings, with both clubs sweeping the series on their home field.

Pitching Match Up
L.A. Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw (2-1, 4.43 ERA)
Philadelphia Phillies: Roberto Hernandez (2-1, 3.98 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Dodgers -178 / Phillies +168
Run Line: L.A Dodgers -1.5 -110
Total Line: 7.5 Under -125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
L.A. Dodgers 25-23 SU / O/U 26-19 / Run Line W/L 26-22
Philadelphia Phillies: 20-24 SU / O/U 26-16 / Run Line W/L 21-23

Key Betting Trends
• LA is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
• LA is 36-17 in their last 53 games as a road favorite.
• LA has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.
• PHIL is 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
• PHIL is 3-9 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
• PHIL has an Over record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 games.

Key Player Injuries

DODGERS
Juan Uribe 3B D.L. May 21 hamstring Early June?
Chad Billingsley SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Out indefinitely
Onelki Garcia RP D.L. Mar 16 elbow Out indefinitely
Scott Elbert RP D.L. Feb 8 elbow July 2014?

PHILLIES
Cliff Lee SP D.L. May 21 elbow Out indefinitely
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez SP D.L. Mar 27 shoulder Late May?

Total Prediction:

Dodgers Kershaw was un-Kershaw like in his latest allowing 7 runs in 1 2/3 innings to inflate his road ERA to 4.70 in 3 starts this season. His previous 3 outings this year at quick glance appear to be vintage Kershaw with a combined 4 runs allowed over 20 2/3 innings, but what is alarming is the amount of hits allowed in his last 3 overall. The left-hander has allowed 22 hits in 15 2/3 innings in his last 3 including the disaster in the desert of Arizona. The Phillies send Roberto Hernandez to the mound for his 7 start of the season. Hernandez has been sharp at home with a 2.29 ERA in 3 starts, but hasn’t faced much with games against Washington, Atlanta and Milwaukee. Surprisingly Hernandez has only one lifetime start versus the Dodgers and it wasn’t impressive with 5 runs allowed over 4 innings. Both teams have been getting their share of runs as of late with Los Angeles tallying 4 or more runs in 7 of the last 10 games and 3 or more in 11 straight and Philadelphia scoring 34 runs in their last 5.
Take Over 7.5 +110.

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