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L.A. Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Total Pick

Time: 7:10 PM EST Saturday August 1, 2014 SUN

Location: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida

The Tampa Bay Rays host the L.A. Angels in an American League match up.

In their last games: The Angels beat the Baltimore Orioles 1-0 and the Rays lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 5-0.

In a big-time pitcher’s duel against the Orioles Albert Pujols hit an RBI single in the 13th inning to give the Angels the win.

In David Price’s last start before being traded to the Tigers he was roughed up in the 5-0 loss.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Angels are 9-3 in Matt Shoemaker’s last 12 starts.

The Rays are 15-5 in Jeremy Hellickson’s last 20 home starts.

The Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Rays.
Pitching Match Up
Los Angeles Angels: Matt Shoemaker (8-3, 4.13 ERA)
Tampa Bay Rays: Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 1.00 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Angels -107 / Rays -103
Run Line: Los Angeles -1.5 +145
Total Line: 7.5 Under -115

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
L.A. Angels: 64-43 SU / O/U 53-49 / Run Line W/L 56-51
Tampa Bay Rays: 53-55SU / O/U 51-52 / Run Line W/L 46-63

Key Betting Trends
• LA is 26-10 in their last 36 overall.
• LA is 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• LA has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• TB is 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
• TB is 9-2 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
• STL has an Under record of 14-6-2 in their last 22 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Ryan BrasierRight elbow strain on 60-day DL(3/21)
Sean Burnett Torn left UCL – out for season on 60-day DL(5/28)
Collin Cowgill Nasal fracture – out 4-6 weeks on 15-day DL(7/13)
Grant Green Lumbar strain on 15-day DL(7/21)
Josh Hamilton Left knee soreness day-to-day(7/25)
Brian Moran Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Tyler Skaggs Left forearm tightness day-to-day(7/31)
C.J. Wilson Sprained right ankle on 15-day DL(7/10)

Tim Beckham Recovery from right knee surgery on 60-day DL(3/30)
David DeJesus Fractured left hand on 15-day DL(6/19)
Ryan Hanigan Oblique strain on 15-day DL(7/9)
Matt Moore Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(4/8)
Wil Myers Sprained right wrist on 60-day DL(5/31)
Jerry Sands Strained left wrist on 15-day DL(6/23)

Total Pick:

The Rays Jeremy Hellickson has pitched decent in both starts since returning from elbow surgery. The Rays are taking the safe approach with the 27-year-old right-handler easing him back into game. Hellickson threw 84 pitches in his first start going 4 1/3 innings giving up 1 run on 6 hits. In his last start he went 4 2/3 scattering 5 hits with 5 strikeouts shutting out Boston on 96 pitches. Look for Hellickson to be even better today against a team he has success against over his career, posting a 3-1 record with a 1.80 ERA. In Hellickson only start against the Angels in 2013, he gave up 4 hits in 5 1/3 scoreless frames for the win. The Angels send Shoemaker to the hill, who had his best start of the season in his last, pitching 7 innings of 3 hit ball for the 3-0 win. Shoemaker dominated Tampa Bay in his only career start against them back on May 18, yielding 1 run on 2 hits in six innings. Really tough to pick a side here, so we’ll make a play on the total in a game that we feel runs will be hard to come by.
Take the UNDER 7.5 -115.

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